Heavy Duty Trucks Market Size & Share 2026-2035
Market Size - By Truck (Class 7, Class 8), By Tonnage Capacity (16 to 26 Tonnes, 26 to 40 Tonnes, Above 40 Tonnes), By Propulsion (Diesel, Battery Electric Vehicles [BEV], Hybrid & Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles [HEV/PHEV], Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles [FCEV], Others), By Axle (4x2, 6x2, 6x4, 6x6, Others), By Horsepower (Below 300HP, 300HP-400HP, 400HP-500HP, 500HP & Above), By Transmission (Manual Transmission, Automatic Transmission, Automated Manual Transmission [AMT]), and By Application (Freight & Logistics, Construction & Mining, Utility Services, Others), Growth Forecast. The market forecasts are provided in terms of value (USD) & volume (Units).
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Heavy Duty Trucks Market Size
The global heavy duty trucks market was estimated at USD 308.3 billion in 2025. The market is expected to grow from USD 312.1 billion in 2026 to USD 475.5 billion in 2035, at a CAGR of 4.8% according to latest report published by Global Market Insights Inc.
Heavy Duty Trucks Market Key Takeaways
Market Size & Growth
Regional Dominance
Key Market Drivers
Challenges
Opportunity
Key Players
The market growth is being driven by increasing initiatives and collaborations between regions aimed at extending the reach and adoption of Class 8 trucks. As global commerce thrives, the demand for efficient cross-border transportation of goods has surged. A notable example occurred in April 2024 when Bali Express and San Diego Gas & Electric announced a groundbreaking achievement: the successful journey of a heavy-duty Class 8 electric freight truck from the United States to Mexico. This milestone marked the first-ever semi-truck crossing into Mexican territory, symbolizing a pivotal step in the binational region’s pursuit of a net-zero future.
Initiatives such as trade agreements and infrastructure development projects have streamlined cross-border movement, increasing the demand for heavy-duty trucks to meet transportation requirements. Regional collaborations have further fueled this demand by promoting interoperability and standardization across transportation networks, facilitating seamless cross-regional trade. For instance, France aims to reduce road transport emissions to 81 Mt by 2030, a 40% reduction, with a significant push for 50% of new heavy-duty sales to be low emission by 2030.
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly disrupted the heavy-duty truck (HGV) market, creating a cycle of production halts, supply chain crises, and a subsequent volatile recovery that continues to influence the market. Production was severely hampered by lockdowns and a global semiconductor shortage, leading to record-low replacement rates. As supply chains normalized, the market experienced a "boom" in deliveries due to a massive backlog of orders. Postponed investments due to the pandemic have significantly aged the European truck fleet, with the average age increasing by over 1.5 years by 2024.
The Asia Pacific region is the leading trucking market in terms of value and the focal point of electric vehicle development. The region's growth in e-commerce and infrastructure development has been created for public works projects. Both types of truck will see elevated levels of utilization as many trucking companies expand their use of trucks to deliver goods. By 2030, the Indian logistics industry is expected to become USD 800 billion industry and will be responsible for about 11% contribution to the GDP.
North America market is poised to experience the fastest growth among the major global truck markets because of the combined effects of government incentives, new emissions regulations, and governments' plans to launch pilot projects in key freight transportation corridors across the United States and Canada. Daimler Truck has stated that the number of units of trucks manufactured in North America was 141,814 in 2025, which reflects a sizable decrease from the previous period due to weak freight demand and uncertainty in the overall economy.
Heavy Duty Trucks Market Trends
The rise of electric and alternative fuel-powered Class 8 trucks is transforming the industry landscape, underscoring a growing commitment to sustainability. These advancements not only improve the performance and safety of heavy-duty trucks but also revolutionize goods transportation. With leading manufacturers pushing the boundaries of technology and design, the heavy-duty truck market is poised for significant transformation and growth.
For instance, in April 2024, Volvo Trucks North America began accepting orders for its latest Class 8 VNL tractor. Production of this redesigned flagship model, developed by Volvo Group, is set to commence in the summer of 2024, with customer deliveries scheduled for later in the year. To meet evolving customer demands and regulatory requirements, companies are prioritizing innovation and customization. Features such as autonomous driving capabilities, telematics systems, and improved fuel efficiency are becoming standard offerings.
The continued growth of e-commerce is driving transformational change in the heavy-duty trucking sector by creating more intense demands for efficiency in last-mile delivery and by creating more decentralized regional logistics networks. As the penetration rate of online retail increases, the volume of parcels delivered by both parcel carriers and less-than-truckload (LTL) carriers will also increase.
Zero-emission zones in regions such as California, New York, and several major European cities are encouraging operators to transition toward Class 7 and entry-level Class 8 trucks, which are better aligned with current electric vehicle range limitations of roughly 200–300 kilometres per charge. Large-scale commitments from logistics leaders, such as Amazon’s plan to deploy 100,000 electric delivery vehicles by 2030, highlight early adoption trends driven by regulatory compliance and corporate sustainability goals.
Heavy Duty Trucks Market Analysis
Based on truck, the market is divided into rigid Class 7 and Class 8. The Class 8 segment dominated the market accounting by 58% in 2025 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 19% from 2026 to 2035.
Based on application, the heavy duty trucks market is divided into freight & logistics, construction & mining, utility services, and others. Freight & logistics dominates the market and was valued at USD 231 billion in 2025.
Based on tonnage capacity, the heavy duty trucks market is divided into 16 to 26 tones, 26 to 40 tones and above 40 tones. The 26 to 40 tones is the largest segment in market and were valued at USD 186.3 billion in 2025.
Based on transmission, the heavy duty trucks market is divided into manual transmission, automatic transmission, and automated manual transmission (AMT). The automated manual transmission (AMT) segment is expected to grow at the fastest CAGR of 5.2% between 2026 and 2035.
The China dominated Asia-Pacific heavy duty trucks market with revenue of USD 107.2 billion in 2025.
U.S. heavy duty trucks market will grow tremendously with CAGR of 5.6% between 2026 and 2035.
Europe heavy duty trucks market in Germany sold 1,06,107 units in 2025.
The Brazil will experience robust growth of 5.4% between 2026 and 2035.
Middle East & Africa heavy duty trucks market in UAE sold 24,580 units in 2025.
Heavy Duty Trucks Market Share
The top 7 companies in the market are PACCAR, Daimler, IVECO, Volvo, Navistar, TRATON, and Sinotruk. These companies hold around 35% of the market share in 2025.
Heavy Duty Trucks Market Companies
Major players operating in the heavy-duty trucks industry include:
12% market share
Collective market share in 2025 is 32%
Heavy Duty Trucks Industry News
The heavy-duty trucks market research report includes in-depth coverage of the industry with estimates & revenue ($Bn) and volume (Units) from 2022 to 2035, for the following segments:
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Market By Truck
Market By Tonnage Capacity
Market By Propulsion
Market By Axle
Market By Horsepower
Market By Transmission
Market By Application
The above information is provided for the following regions and countries:
Research methodology, data sources & validation process
This report draws on a structured research process built around direct industry conversations, proprietary modelling, and rigorous cross-validation and not just desk research.
Our 6-step research process
1. Research design & analyst oversight
At GMI, our research methodology is built on a foundation of human expertise, rigorous validation, and complete transparency. Every insight, trend analysis, and forecast in our reports is developed by experienced analysts who understand the nuances of your market.
Our approach integrates extensive primary research through direct engagement with industry participants and experts, complemented by comprehensive secondary research from verified global sources. We apply quantified impact analysis to deliver dependable forecasts, while maintaining complete traceability from original data sources to final insights.
2. Primary research
Primary research forms the backbone of our methodology, contributing nearly 80% to overall insights. It involves direct engagement with industry participants to ensure accuracy and depth in analysis. Our structured interview program covers regional and global markets, with inputs from C-suite executives, directors, and subject matter experts. These interactions provide strategic, operational, and technical perspectives, enabling well-rounded insights and reliable market forecasts.
3. Data mining & market analysis
Data mining is a key part of our research process, contributing nearly 20% to the overall methodology. It involves analysing market structure, identifying industry trends, and assessing macroeconomic factors through revenue share analysis of major players. Relevant data is collected from both paid and unpaid sources to build a reliable database. This information is then integrated to support primary research and market sizing, with validation from key stakeholders such as distributors, manufacturers, and associations.
4. Market sizing
Our market sizing is built on a bottom-up approach, starting with company revenue data gathered directly through primary interviews, alongside production volume figures from manufacturers and installation or deployment statistics. These inputs are then pieced together across regional markets to arrive at a global estimate that stays grounded in actual industry activity.
5. Forecast model & key assumptions
Every forecast includes explicit documentation of:
✓ Key growth drivers and their assumed impact
✓ Restraining factors and mitigation scenarios
✓ Regulatory assumptions and policy change risk
✓ Technology adoption curve parameter
✓ Macroeconomic assumptions (GDP growth, inflation, currency)
✓ Competitive dynamics and market entry/exit expectations
6. Validation & quality assurance
The final stages involve human validation, where domain experts manually review filtered data to identify nuances and contextual errors that automated systems might miss. This expert review adds a critical layer of quality assurance, ensuring data aligns with research objectives and domain-specific standards.
Our triple-layer validation process ensures maximum data reliability:
✓ Statistical Validation
✓ Expert Validation
✓ Market Reality Check
Trust & credibility
Verified data sources
Trade publications
Security & defense sector journals and trade press
Industry databases
Proprietary and third-party market databases
Regulatory filings
Government procurement records and policy documents
Academic research
University studies and specialist institution reports
Company reports
Annual reports, investor presentations, and filings
Expert interviews
C-suite, procurement leads, and technical specialists
GMI archive
13,000+ published studies across 30+ industry verticals
Trade data
Import/export volumes, HS codes, and customs records
Parameters studied & evaluated
Every data point in this report is validated through primary interviews, true bottom-up modelling, and rigorous cross-checks. Read about our research process →