Authors:
Suraj Gujar, Navya Malhotra
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Connected Packaging Market Size & Share 2026-2035
Report ID: GMI13721
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Published Date: October 2026
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Connected Packaging Market
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Connected Packaging Market Size
The connected packaging market was valued at USD 2.80 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 3.18 billion in 2026, expanding at a 13.2% CAGR (2026–2035) to reach USD 9.69 billion by 2035. Connected packaging combines physical packs with technologies such as RFID, NFC, QR codes, sensors, Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE), and digital watermarks to connect products, supply chains, and consumer interactions.
Connected Packaging Market Key Takeaways
Market Leader: Avery Dennison Corporation led with over 7.3% market share in 2025.
Leading Players: Top 5 players in this market include Avery Dennison Corporation, SML Group, CCL Industries / Checkpoint Systems, Zebra Technologies, Impinj, Inc., which collectively held a market share of 22.3% in 2025.
Demand is shifting from discretionary digital-packaging experiments toward operational deployments tied to traceability, authentication, inventory accuracy, and regulatory disclosure. Retailer mandates, pharmaceutical serialization, and emerging product-passport requirements are expanding the addressable use cases, while the commercial mix is increasingly shaped by the data infrastructure and implementation capabilities required alongside the physical package.
GMI Analyst View
Based on our proprietary analysis of market activity across the historic period, the market recorded a CAGR of 11.9% during 2022–2025. We view this as evidence that adoption was already broadening before the next phase of regulatory and retailer-led deployment, establishing a more durable foundation for forecast-period demand.
Connected Packaging Market Trends, Growth Drivers & GMI Forecast Outlook
Retail compliance mandates, product-authentication needs, and sustainability disclosure requirements are broadening the market's demand base. Growth will depend on the conversion of these requirements into scalable deployments, particularly where brands can integrate multiple data-carrier technologies with existing packaging-conversion and enterprise-data systems.
Key Drivers
Evidence anchors use cited external data; demand implications and forecast conditions represent GMI analysis.
Retail RFID requirements are altering purchasing behavior because the economic decision increasingly rests with suppliers seeking continued access to retail channels rather than with brands evaluating a standalone technology investment. Item-level deployment also creates follow-on demand for encoding, data management, inventory workflows, and exception handling, making the value chain broader than the inlay itself. This favors suppliers able to combine high-volume converting capacity with implementation support.
Authentication demand follows a different mechanism. NFC, serialized QR, and watermark-based systems can help brands verify provenance while also creating a direct consumer interaction layer. That dual function is particularly relevant in premium goods, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and electronics, where the consequence of diversion or counterfeiting extends beyond lost sales to safety, warranty, and reputational risk.
The Digital Product Passport framework adds a regulatory route to adoption. As manufacturers prepare machine-readable product identities for circularity and compliance obligations, packaging can become the persistent physical access point to product-level information. This creates a long-cycle opportunity for technologies that can accommodate changing information requirements without requiring a complete redesign of consumer-facing packaging [2]European Commission. "Digital Product Passport." single-market-economy.ec.europa.eu.
Key Restraints
Evidence anchors use cited external data; demand implications and forecast conditions represent GMI analysis.
Pharmaceutical implementation experience illustrates why physical tagging or coding alone does not ensure a successful connected-packaging deployment. Data quality, barcode execution, master-data governance, and response processes must operate across multiple trading partners. Where those capabilities are incomplete, the buyer faces a longer implementation cycle and a less certain return on investment, particularly in compliance-sensitive workflows [5]Healthcare Packaging / Healthcare Distribution Alliance. "Improving DSCSA Data Exchange Accuracy During the FDA's Phased Exemption Periods." healthcarepackaging.com.
Phased regulatory exemptions further shape the timing of demand. They preserve the eventual requirement while allowing smaller or less prepared organizations additional time to adapt their systems. This produces an uneven procurement curve in which demand can accumulate before converting into equipment, software, label, and packaging orders once compliance deadlines become binding [3]U.S. Food and Drug Administration. "FDA's Implementation of Drug Supply Chain Security Act (DSCSA) Requirements." fda.gov.
Technology fragmentation is also a commercial restraint. RFID is optimized for automated inventory visibility, NFC supports close-range interaction, QR codes provide broad smartphone access, and watermarks address machine vision and sortation applications. Brands must therefore match the technology to the operating environment rather than assume a universal data carrier, increasing the importance of interoperable platforms and experienced packaging partners.
GMI Analyst View
We see the market's demand architecture becoming more resilient because retail operations, regulated traceability, brand protection, and sustainability disclosure do not depend on a single purchasing cycle. The trade-off is a more complex adoption path: technology selection and enterprise integration will determine which deployments move quickly from pilot to scaled procurement.
Connected Packaging Market Segment Analysis
By Technology
RFID generated USD 980 million in 2025 and is projected to account for 36.0% of market revenue by 2035. RFID remains central to the connected packaging market because it supports automated, non-line-of-sight identification at retail, distribution, and warehouse touchpoints. Retailer compliance programs provide a recurring deployment base, while expansion into food and fresh-product environments is extending RFID's relevance beyond its established apparel and general-merchandise applications.
QR code and 2D barcode-enabled packaging held a 25.0% market share in 2025 and is forecast to grow at an 11.6% CAGR (2026–2035). The technology's broad compatibility with smartphones and print workflows makes it the most accessible route to consumer engagement, product information, and basic traceability. Its value proposition is strengthened where brands need a low-infrastructure way to connect product-level content with regulatory, loyalty, or post-purchase experiences.
NFC is expected to hold a 15.0% share of the market by 2035 and advance at a 14.1% CAGR (2026–2035). NFC is especially suited to higher-value packaging where tap-based authentication and interaction justify a higher per-unit technology cost. Luxury, spirits, cosmetics, and premium personal care applications can use NFC to combine authenticity checks, product storytelling, and customer engagement in a single package interaction.
Sensor-enabled packaging accounted for 14.0% of market revenue in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 1.36 billion by 2035. Demand is concentrated in applications where package-condition data materially reduces loss, liability, or compliance risk, including biologics, vaccines, premium food logistics, and high-value industrial shipments. The segment's adoption ceiling remains tied to the balance between the cost of active sensing and the value of the goods being monitored.
BLE connected packaging is projected to reach USD 485 million by 2035 and grow at a 16.1% CAGR (2026–2035). BLE expands the market beyond fixed-reader environments by supporting proximity-based interaction and continuous item monitoring through widely available receiver infrastructure. Its opportunity is strongest where mobility, real-time visibility, and low-friction connectivity are more valuable than the lowest possible tag cost.
Digital watermarking held a 3.0% share of the market in 2025 and is expected to grow at a 16.9% CAGR (2026–2035). The technology is gaining strategic relevance in recycling-sortation and brand-protection applications because it can embed machine-readable information into package graphics without changing the consumer-facing design. Its longer-term potential depends on the scale of downstream detection infrastructure and on regulatory acceptance of digital identifiers in circular-economy workflows.
By Application
Supply chain track and trace generated USD 896 million in 2025 and is expected to account for 30.0% of market revenue by 2035. The application is anchored in inventory accuracy, logistics visibility, and regulated product tracing. Retail RFID mandates and pharmaceutical traceability requirements support deployment because they make packaging data part of a broader operational control system rather than a standalone marketing feature [3]U.S. Food and Drug Administration. "FDA's Implementation of Drug Supply Chain Security Act (DSCSA) Requirements." fda.gov.
Consumer engagement is projected to reach USD 2.42 billion by 2035, growing at a 14.8% CAGR (2026–2035). Connected packs give consumer-goods companies a direct, product-level digital channel that can support loyalty, content delivery, promotions, and first-party interaction data. The commercial case is strongest where brands can translate scans or taps into measurable repeat purchase, audience insight, or service outcomes.
Authentication and anti-counterfeiting applications held an 18.0% share in 2025 and are projected to reach USD 1.74 billion by 2035. This application uses connected identifiers to establish product legitimacy at the point of receipt, sale, or use. Counterfeit exposure is particularly consequential in pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, luxury goods, and consumer electronics, where a digital identity can support both brand protection and consumer confidence [4]OECD. "Mapping Global Trade in Fakes 2025." oecd.org.
Regulatory compliance packaging is projected to account for 13.0% of market revenue by 2035 and grow at a 14.2% CAGR (2026–2035). The segment is supported by requirements for serialization, traceability, product passports, and sustainability disclosures. Unlike voluntary engagement programs, compliance-driven deployments can proceed even when brand-marketing budgets are constrained, although timing remains dependent on implementation guidance and trading-partner readiness [2]European Commission. "Digital Product Passport." single-market-economy.ec.europa.eu.
Condition monitoring held a 10.0% market share in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 872 million by 2035. The application is most compelling when continuous temperature, humidity, shock, or location data can prevent costly spoilage or product failure. Adoption is therefore concentrated in cold chains and high-value logistics, where the cost of a sensor is small relative to the consequence of an undocumented excursion.
Recycling and sustainability applications generated USD 112 million in 2025 and are projected to expand at a 13.2% CAGR (2026–2035). Connected features can carry material, recyclability, and sorting information through the packaging lifecycle. Growth will depend on the ability of watermarks, QR codes, and other identifiers to integrate with evolving recycling systems while remaining commercially viable for high-volume packaging formats.
By Packaging Format
Labels and tags generated USD 1.06 billion in 2025 and are forecast to grow at a 12.2% CAGR (2026–2035). Established label-converting infrastructure makes this format the primary vehicle for RFID inlays, NFC components, and variable QR coding. Its versatility allows brands to add connected functionality without redesigning the entire package structure, supporting adoption across retail, pharmaceutical, and consumer-goods applications.
Rigid packaging is projected to reach USD 2.13 billion by 2035 and held a 22.0% market share in 2025. Bottles, jars, containers, and durable consumer-electronics packs can protect embedded components and support premium interaction experiences. The format is especially relevant where package durability, visual presentation, and repeated consumer handling create a strong case for authentication or engagement features.
Flexible packaging is expected to account for 22.0% of market revenue by 2035 and grow at a 14.4% CAGR (2026–2035). Thin inlays, printed codes, and watermarking are making connected features more feasible in pouches, films, and laminates without materially compromising barrier performance. Food packaging provides a large addressable base, while sustainability requirements create a practical reason to connect flexible packs with material and disposal information.
Paperboard and cartons held a 16.0% market share in 2025 and are projected to reach USD 1.65 billion by 2035. Cartons provide a large printable surface for QR codes and can support invisible digital watermarks within existing graphics. Their role in pharmaceutical secondary packs, retail-ready packaging, and consumer communication makes them a cost-effective platform for scaled connected-packaging programs.
By Packaging Level
Primary packaging generated USD 1.54 billion in 2025 and is expected to account for 52.0% of market revenue by 2035. As the pack closest to the consumer and product, primary packaging is the natural location for authentication, engagement, and disclosure functions. Brand owners prioritize this level when the package must carry a persistent identity through retail, consumer use, and post-purchase interaction.
Secondary packaging is projected to reach USD 3.20 billion by 2035 and expand at a 14.4% CAGR (2026–2035). Cases, cartons, and shippers are increasingly connected to improve warehouse receiving, distribution visibility, and traceability. This packaging level benefits from enterprise logistics investment because it can generate operational data at aggregation points where inventory decisions are made.
Tertiary packaging generated USD 420 million in 2025 and is forecast to grow at a 13.2% CAGR (2026–2035). Pallet and bulk-logistics applications remain important for location tracking, dock-door reading, and shipment reconciliation. Tertiary-level deployments increasingly complement item- and case-level systems, creating a more continuous data chain from production through distribution.
By End-Use Industry
Food and beverage generated USD 980 million in 2025 and is expected to account for 33.0% of market revenue by 2035. The industry combines high volumes, increasing traceability needs, retailer RFID requirements, and consumer demand for origin and freshness information. Fresh-food deployment is a pivotal opportunity because it tests whether connected technologies can operate reliably in variable moisture, stacking, and temperature conditions.
Pharmaceuticals and healthcare are projected to reach USD 2.91 billion by 2035 and grow at a 14.1% CAGR (2026–2035). Serialization, chain-of-custody controls, and anti-counterfeiting requirements create a structurally durable demand base. The sector also requires dependable data exchange across manufacturers, distributors, pharmacies, and care settings, which raises implementation complexity but increases the value of proven, compliance-grade connected-packaging solutions [3]U.S. Food and Drug Administration. "FDA's Implementation of Drug Supply Chain Security Act (DSCSA) Requirements." fda.gov.
Personal care and cosmetics held a 12.0% market share in 2025 and are projected to reach USD 1.16 billion by 2035. Premium formats lead adoption because NFC and QR experiences can reinforce authenticity, product education, refill participation, and personalized engagement. Counterfeit risk provides an additional business case, particularly for prestige products that rely on controlled distribution and consumer trust [4]OECD. "Mapping Global Trade in Fakes 2025." oecd.org.
Consumer electronics are projected to account for 7.0% of market revenue by 2035 and grow at an 11.5% CAGR (2026–2035). Retail inventory compliance and product authentication support adoption, particularly for higher-value devices and accessories. Growth is moderated by compact package formats and an installed base of established identification systems, causing adoption to focus on targeted value-added use cases rather than broad replacement.
GMI Analyst View
We find that the segment mix favors technologies with distinct operating roles rather than a single winner-take-all architecture. RFID and QR codes provide scale and accessibility, while NFC, sensors, BLE, and watermarks address specialized requirements in authentication, monitoring, engagement, and circularity. Suppliers that can help customers select and integrate these technologies will be better positioned than providers selling isolated components.
Connected Packaging Market Regional Analysis
North America Connected Packaging Market Analysis
North America generated USD 896 million in 2025 and is projected to account for 30.0% of the connected packaging market by 2035. The region's demand base is anchored in retail RFID programs and pharmaceutical traceability, which provide two separate compliance-oriented routes to deployment. Growth is supported by existing enterprise infrastructure, although the market's relative share is expected to face pressure as regulatory demand broadens elsewhere.
US
The US generated USD 762 million in 2025 and is expected to hold a 25.2% global market share by 2035. The country combines the most developed retail RFID ecosystem with extensive pharmaceutical serialization obligations. Retail mandate expansion continues to pull suppliers into item-level tagging, while DSCSA implementation sustains demand for packaging-linked traceability and data-exchange capabilities [3]U.S. Food and Drug Administration. "FDA's Implementation of Drug Supply Chain Security Act (DSCSA) Requirements." fda.gov.
Canada
Canada is projected to reach USD 464 million by 2035 and grow at a 13.1% CAGR (2026–2035). Cross-border supply chains and alignment with North American retail practices support adoption, particularly where suppliers serve common retail customers. The market's development is also aided by demand for practical, smartphone-accessible packaging information and traceability solutions.
Europe Connected Packaging Market Analysis
Europe is projected to account for 33.0% of the connected packaging market by 2035 and grow at a 15.1% CAGR (2026–2035). The region has the most regulation-intensive demand environment, with product-passport, circularity, traceability, and pharmaceutical requirements shaping procurement. European deployment is likely to favor technologies that can serve multiple compliance and consumer-information functions from the same physical package [2]European Commission. "Digital Product Passport." single-market-economy.ec.europa.eu.
Germany
Germany generated USD 172 million in 2025 and is expected to hold a 7.5% global market share by 2035. Its manufacturing depth and circular-economy orientation support early adoption across industrial, automotive, consumer-electronics, and recycling-related applications. The country is particularly relevant to the development of packaging identifiers that can support material visibility and compliance documentation.
UK
The UK is projected to reach USD 468 million by 2035 and grow at a 13.4% CAGR (2026–2035). Mature retail RFID use and packaging-waste obligations provide a strong demand base independent of direct participation in every EU requirement. Export-oriented brands still face incentives to align packaging data practices with European market-access expectations.
France
France accounted for 3.9% of global market revenue in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 453 million by 2035. Cosmetics, spirits, luxury goods, and food are important adoption areas because brand provenance and premium consumer interaction are commercially meaningful. These sectors create demand for authentication and storytelling features that can be integrated into high-value packaging.
Italy
Italy is expected to account for 3.0% of global market revenue by 2035 and grow at a 14.0% CAGR (2026–2035). Fashion, luxury, food, and pharmaceuticals provide a concentrated base of branded products where identity, traceability, and consumer experience matter. Product-passport implementation is especially consequential for textile and footwear supply chains that need to connect physical goods with lifecycle information [2]European Commission. "Digital Product Passport." single-market-economy.ec.europa.eu.
Asia Pacific Connected Packaging Market Analysis
Asia Pacific held a 30.0% share of the connected packaging market in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 2.71 billion by 2035. The region combines its role as a major component and inlay manufacturing base with expanding domestic demand for packaging intelligence. Adoption varies widely by country, with developed markets emphasizing advanced infrastructure and emerging markets often entering through QR and barcode-based applications.
China
China generated USD 336 million in 2025 and is expected to account for 10.6% of global market revenue by 2035. Its manufacturing ecosystem supports large-scale RFID and connected-packaging production, while domestic demand is growing through e-commerce, food safety, pharmaceutical traceability, and consumer engagement. Cost sensitivity continues to favor QR and 2D barcode deployments in many consumer-goods categories.
Japan
Japan is projected to reach USD 407 million by 2035 and grow at a 10.0% CAGR (2026–2035). The country's more mature retail and pharmaceutical infrastructure makes growth increasingly incremental rather than transformational. Opportunities center on extending connected capabilities into sustainability, product-information, and higher-value packaging applications.
India
India accounted for 4.5% of global market revenue in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 488 million by 2035. Organized retail expansion, pharmaceutical export requirements, and widespread smartphone use create a favorable environment for QR-led adoption. The country's pharmaceutical manufacturing base also creates demand for traceable packaging that can meet the requirements of export markets.
South Korea
South Korea is projected to hold a 2.2% global market share by 2035 and grow at a 12.4% CAGR (2026–2035). Consumer electronics, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics offer attractive adoption environments because these industries compete globally on brand trust and product quality. Advanced electronics capabilities also support the use of embedded-component packaging in specialized applications.
Latin America Connected Packaging Market Analysis
Latin America is projected to reach USD 485 million by 2035 and held a 5.0% market share in 2025. The region's adoption path is primarily QR- and barcode-led, reflecting lower infrastructure requirements and broad smartphone access. Consumer engagement, authentication, and export-linked compliance are likely to remain the principal commercial entry points.
Brazil
Brazil generated USD 63 million in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 205 million by 2035. Food and beverage, personal care, and pharmaceutical packaging are central demand areas. QR-based engagement and traceability are well suited to the country's large consumer market, while serialization requirements reinforce demand in healthcare supply chains.
Mexico
Mexico is projected to account for 1.7% of global connected packaging revenue by 2035 and grow at a 15.5% CAGR (2026–2035). Its export-manufacturing links with the US create a structural pull for RFID adoption where products must satisfy North American retail requirements. This cross-border compliance dynamic differentiates the market from other Latin American countries.
Argentina
Argentina held a 0.9% global market share in 2025 and is forecast to grow at a 10.2% CAGR (2026–2035). Adoption remains concentrated in applications with a clear compliance or product-protection rationale. Economic volatility and investment constraints are likely to keep QR-based and pharmaceutical-traceability applications more prominent than capital-intensive deployment models.
Middle East & Africa Connected Packaging Market Analysis
Middle East & Africa generated USD 140 million in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 387 million by 2035. The region is characterized by a split between more advanced Gulf markets and earlier-stage adoption elsewhere. Retail modernization, pharmaceutical traceability, and government digitalization initiatives are advancing demand, while QR solutions offer an accessible entry point in less mature markets.
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia generated USD 31 million in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 110 million by 2035. Retail modernization and healthcare-sector digitization are supporting demand for supply-chain visibility and serialized pharmaceutical packaging. Consumer-goods brands also have scope to use QR-enabled packaging for engagement and product information in a growing FMCG market.
UAE
The UAE is projected to account for 0.8% of global market revenue by 2035 and grow at a 12.5% CAGR (2026–2035). Its position as a logistics, retail, and re-export hub supports adoption of RFID and traceability solutions across distribution networks. Pharmaceutical and premium-consumer-goods applications benefit from the country's focus on high-quality supply-chain infrastructure.
South Africa
South Africa held a 0.6% share of global market revenue in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 47 million by 2035. Pharmaceutical traceability, formal grocery retail, and FMCG engagement programs provide the most practical sources of demand. Its role as a regional commercial gateway can encourage multinational brands to apply global packaging-compliance practices locally.
GMI Analyst View
We expect regional differentiation to be defined by the source of adoption pressure. Europe is moving through a regulation-led, multi-function deployment cycle, while North America remains anchored in retail and healthcare operating requirements. Asia Pacific's scale advantage is substantial, but end-market adoption will remain uneven; Latin America and Middle East & Africa will continue to favor accessible technologies before more complex deployments become widespread.
Connected Packaging Market Share & Competitive Landscape
The connected packaging market share landscape remains fragmented, with the top five suppliers collectively holding approximately 22.3% of global market revenue in 2025. Fragmentation reflects the coexistence of RFID, NFC, QR, sensor, and watermarking technologies, as well as the need for different combinations of component design, label conversion, software, reader infrastructure, and systems integration across customer applications.
Avery Dennison Corporation held a 7.3% market share in 2025. Its Intelligent Labels business, global converting footprint, and atma.io data platform position the company to serve large-scale retail RFID programs and associated enterprise-data requirements. The company's investment in fresh-food RFID broadens its exposure to an important next-stage retail deployment category, while its Intelligent Labels guidance indicates continued momentum from retailer-led rollouts [1]Avery Dennison Corporation. "Financial Review and Analysis Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024." averydennison.com.
SML Group held a 4.3% market share in 2025. The company's position in apparel, fashion, and retail labels gives it established access to high-volume RFID applications. Its competitive strength lies in manufacturing scale and its ability to support suppliers responding to retailer compliance requirements across multiple sourcing geographies.
CCL Industries / Checkpoint Systems held a 3.6% market share in 2025. Its combination of label-converting capabilities, retail-security relationships, and RFID, NFC, and QR offerings allows it to address both merchandise visibility and product-authentication needs. The company is positioned to benefit where customers want to integrate connected functionality into broader label and security programs.
Zebra Technologies plays a critical enabling role through RFID readers, handheld devices, sleds, and fixed infrastructure used in retail, distribution, and manufacturing environments. Its portfolio-wide Gen2X firmware upgrade improves support for demanding item-level visibility applications, reinforcing the installed infrastructure needed for more sophisticated connected-packaging deployments [7]Impinj. "Zebra Technologies Upgrades RFID Readers with Impinj Gen2X for Improved Item-Level Visibility and Traceability." impinj.com.
Impinj, Inc. is a key platform supplier to the RAIN RFID ecosystem, providing endpoint integrated circuits used by inlay manufacturers and supported by reader and systems-integration partners. Its M800 series is used in Avery Dennison's AD IdentiFresh inlays for fresh-food applications, demonstrating the importance of semiconductor and reader performance in expanding RFID use into challenging packaging environments [6]Impinj. "Avery Dennison Launches AD IdentiFresh™ to Unlock Efficiency, Freshness and Waste Reduction in Food Retail." impinj.com.
Recent Industry Developments
Avery Dennison launches AD IdentiFresh™ RFID inlay series for fresh food retail (February 25, 2026). Avery Dennison introduced its AD IdentiFresh series to address RFID performance in high-moisture, densely packed food categories such as bakery, meat, deli, and produce. The inlays use Impinj M800 endpoint integrated circuits with Gen2X capability and were developed in connection with food-retail RFID collaboration programs [6]Impinj. "Avery Dennison Launches AD IdentiFresh™ to Unlock Efficiency, Freshness and Waste Reduction in Food Retail." impinj.com.
Zebra Technologies integrates Impinj Gen2X across its RFID portfolio (September 28, 2026). Zebra Technologies expanded Gen2X support through a firmware upgrade across its RFID handheld, sled, fixed-reader, and overhead-reader portfolio. The update improves reading performance in challenging environments and increases the installed infrastructure capable of supporting item-level visibility and traceability deployments [7]Impinj. "Zebra Technologies Upgrades RFID Readers with Impinj Gen2X for Improved Item-Level Visibility and Traceability." impinj.com.
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