Voluntary Carbon Credit Market Size & Share 2025 - 2034
Market Size by End use, Analysis, Share, Growth Forecast.
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Market Size by End use, Analysis, Share, Growth Forecast.
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Starting at: $2,450
Base Year: 2024
Companies Profiled: 16
Tables & Figures: 20
Countries Covered: 18
Pages: 120
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Voluntary Carbon Credit Market
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Voluntary Carbon Credit Market Size
The global voluntary carbon credit market was valued at USD 1.7 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 25% from 2025 to 2034. An active push formed by corporate players to achieve their net zero targets and improve their sustainability ratings has initiated the development of new credit systems focusing on the different constituents of the economy. In January 2025, Microsoft announced the purchase of over 3.5 million carbon credit units in order to offset the carbon production during the AI development, thus propelling the market growth.
Voluntary Carbon Credit Market Key Takeaways
Market Size & Growth
Key Market Drivers
Challenges
The incorporation of voluntary carbon credit market into compliance markets improves the liquidity, credibility, and overall demand of voluntary carbon credits. This attracts institutional investors which improves the stability of prices and encourages corporate involvement. The integration promotes greater uptake, which in turn increases investment into premium quality projects, improves market participation, and facilitates international efforts towards carbon reduction, thereby rapidly increasing the market expansion of the voluntary carbon credit.
An array of substantial companies and institutions are now applying carbon credits to their ESG approaches with the hope of earning greater trust from investors and principal owners, which improves the outlook of the business. For instance, in 2023, more than 60 percent of companies in the S&P 500 claimed using carbon credit markets to offset emissions. This number is expected to increase further over the years and support the market figures.
Voluntary Carbon Credit Market Trends
Voluntary Carbon Credit Market Analysis
The voluntary carbon credit industry was valued at USD 1.9 billion, USD 1.8 billion and USD 1.7 billion in 2022, 2023 and 2024 respectively. Although the market has witnessed a slight decline in the last few years, it is anticipated to grow over the forecast years owing to the rise in reliable methods of computing carbon offsets and technological advancements across the industry, which aids in easy accessibility and traceability.
Voluntary Carbon Credit Market Share
Top 6 companies for voluntary carbon credit industry include Microsoft, Shell, South Pole, Climate Impact Partners EcoAct, Ecosecurities, and ClimeCo. These companies collectively held a substantial market share of over 40% in 2024 and are further anticipated to gain a bigger share in the coming years.
Shell has a notable market share in the global voluntary carbon credit market. The company’s position stems from its focus on carbon offsets in achieving climate goals, especially after there was a decline of investment in clean energy projects. The company also retired 14.9 million carbon credits in the year 2024, which placed it ahead of other major participants such as Microsoft.
The company’s focus on carbon credit revolves around creating an economical way of fulfilling environmental responsibilities. This approach is however criticized for being superficial and not doing much to protect the environment. As stated in Shell’s corporate website, in January 2024 Shell Environmental Products partnered with Climate Impact X to promote transparency and trust within voluntary carbon markets by enabling trading through blockchain technology.
Apart from Shell, Microsoft has emerged as a major buyer of carbon credits to offset emission production. South Pole and Climate Impact Partners target marketing encompass developing and managing carbon offset projects at an international level.
EcoAct provides consulting in sustainability while helping companies achieve carbon neutrality. Ecosecurities specializes in sourcing and financing the mitigation projects in greenhouse gases. ClimeCo deals in environmental commodities and ClimeCo in sustainability. All these companies provide services and initiatives that help in the growing and strengthening of the voluntary carbon market.
Voluntary Carbon Credit Market Companies
Voluntary Carbon Credit Industry News
This voluntary carbon credit market research report includes in-depth coverage of the industry with estimates & forecast in terms of volume (Million Credit) and revenue (USD Billion) from 2021 to 2034, for the following segments:
Market, By End Use
The above information has been provided for the following regions and countries:
Research methodology, data sources & validation process
This report draws on a structured research process built around direct industry conversations, proprietary modelling, and rigorous cross-validation and not just desk research.
Our 6-step research process
1. Research design & analyst oversight
At GMI, our research methodology is built on a foundation of human expertise, rigorous validation, and complete transparency. Every insight, trend analysis, and forecast in our reports is developed by experienced analysts who understand the nuances of your market.
Our approach integrates extensive primary research through direct engagement with industry participants and experts, complemented by comprehensive secondary research from verified global sources. We apply quantified impact analysis to deliver dependable forecasts, while maintaining complete traceability from original data sources to final insights.
2. Primary research
Primary research forms the backbone of our methodology, contributing nearly 80% to overall insights. It involves direct engagement with industry participants to ensure accuracy and depth in analysis. Our structured interview program covers regional and global markets, with inputs from C-suite executives, directors, and subject matter experts. These interactions provide strategic, operational, and technical perspectives, enabling well-rounded insights and reliable market forecasts.
3. Data mining & market analysis
Data mining is a key part of our research process, contributing nearly 20% to the overall methodology. It involves analysing market structure, identifying industry trends, and assessing macroeconomic factors through revenue share analysis of major players. Relevant data is collected from both paid and unpaid sources to build a reliable database. This information is then integrated to support primary research and market sizing, with validation from key stakeholders such as distributors, manufacturers, and associations.
4. Market sizing
Our market sizing is built on a bottom-up approach, starting with company revenue data gathered directly through primary interviews, alongside production volume figures from manufacturers and installation or deployment statistics. These inputs are then pieced together across regional markets to arrive at a global estimate that stays grounded in actual industry activity.
5. Forecast model & key assumptions
Every forecast includes explicit documentation of:
✓ Key growth drivers and their assumed impact
✓ Restraining factors and mitigation scenarios
✓ Regulatory assumptions and policy change risk
✓ Technology adoption curve parameter
✓ Macroeconomic assumptions (GDP growth, inflation, currency)
✓ Competitive dynamics and market entry/exit expectations
6. Validation & quality assurance
The final stages involve human validation, where domain experts manually review filtered data to identify nuances and contextual errors that automated systems might miss. This expert review adds a critical layer of quality assurance, ensuring data aligns with research objectives and domain-specific standards.
Our triple-layer validation process ensures maximum data reliability:
✓ Statistical Validation
✓ Expert Validation
✓ Market Reality Check
Trust & credibility
Verified data sources
Trade publications
Security & defense sector journals and trade press
Industry databases
Proprietary and third-party market databases
Regulatory filings
Government procurement records and policy documents
Academic research
University studies and specialist institution reports
Company reports
Annual reports, investor presentations, and filings
Expert interviews
C-suite, procurement leads, and technical specialists
GMI archive
13,000+ published studies across 30+ industry verticals
Trade data
Import/export volumes, HS codes, and customs records
Parameters studied & evaluated
Every data point in this report is validated through primary interviews, true bottom-up modelling, and rigorous cross-checks. Read about our research process →