Solar Thermal Market Size & Share 2025 - 2034
Market Size by Collector (Evacuated Tube Collector, Flat Plate Collector, Unglazed Water Collector, Air Collector), by Type (Thermosiphon, Pumped), by System, by Application, by End Use & Forecast.
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Solar Thermal Market Size
The global solar thermal market was valued at USD 16.1 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 9% from 2025 to 2034. Increased environmental awareness and government focus on decreasing carbon footprints will fuel product adoption. Increasing solar incentives in addition to positive regulations aimed at curtailing carbon emissions will enhance the industry landscape. Furthermore, the transition towards greener building codes will also accelerate solar thermal systems growth within residential and commercial markets.
Solar Thermal Market Key Takeaways
Market Size & Growth
Key Market Drivers
Challenges
Government-backed investments in big solar thermal projects will boost product adoption. For example, in February 2023, the Australian government and ARENA pledged USD 65 million for Vast Solar's 30 MW/288 MWh concentrated solar thermal project in Port Augusta. Further, increasing public-private partnerships will complement the technology adoption to increase deployment in developed energy markets.
Governments globally are focusing on decarbonization plans and renewable energy, making them a conducive base for solar thermal expansion. Long-term shift toward low-emission, energy-efficient systems, and lower dependence on conventional heating sources will aid the expansion of the market. Solar thermal integration into district heating systems, both in rural and urban areas, will also speed up market development.
Hybrid and electro-thermal storage technology advancements will drive market development. In August 2023, USD 10 million funding was provided by ARENA to RayGen to enhance its solar-plus-thermal storage technology, combining 250 kW PV modules and 3 MW/50 MWh thermal storage, delivering firm solar power for 17 hours. In addition, increasing hybridization of PV and thermal solutions is expected to enhance grid resilience and solar thermal technology penetration in off-grid and remote locations.
The tariff policies enacted during the Trump administration significantly impacted the solar thermal industry. Imposed tariffs on critical equipment and materials, such as photovoltaic cells and modules, increased import costs for essential components. These rising costs have delayed project timelines, as companies struggle with procurement expenses and limited component availability. As a result, the solar thermal supply chain continues to face pressure, leading to potential disruptions in manufacturing and deployment.
Solar Thermal Market Trends
Solar Thermal Market Analysis
Solar Thermal Market Share
Solar Thermal Market Companies
Eminent players operating in the solar thermal market are:
Solar Thermal Industry News
This solar thermal market research report includes an in-depth coverage of the industry with estimates & forecasts in terms of revenue and volume in “USD Billion & GW” from 2021 to 2034, for the following segments:
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Market, By Collector
Market, By Type
Market, By System
Market, By Application
Market, By End Use
The above information has been provided for the following countries:
Research methodology, data sources & validation process
This report draws on a structured research process built around direct industry conversations, proprietary modelling, and rigorous cross-validation and not just desk research.
Our 6-step research process
1. Research design & analyst oversight
At GMI, our research methodology is built on a foundation of human expertise, rigorous validation, and complete transparency. Every insight, trend analysis, and forecast in our reports is developed by experienced analysts who understand the nuances of your market.
Our approach integrates extensive primary research through direct engagement with industry participants and experts, complemented by comprehensive secondary research from verified global sources. We apply quantified impact analysis to deliver dependable forecasts, while maintaining complete traceability from original data sources to final insights.
2. Primary research
Primary research forms the backbone of our methodology, contributing nearly 80% to overall insights. It involves direct engagement with industry participants to ensure accuracy and depth in analysis. Our structured interview program covers regional and global markets, with inputs from C-suite executives, directors, and subject matter experts. These interactions provide strategic, operational, and technical perspectives, enabling well-rounded insights and reliable market forecasts.
3. Data mining & market analysis
Data mining is a key part of our research process, contributing nearly 20% to the overall methodology. It involves analysing market structure, identifying industry trends, and assessing macroeconomic factors through revenue share analysis of major players. Relevant data is collected from both paid and unpaid sources to build a reliable database. This information is then integrated to support primary research and market sizing, with validation from key stakeholders such as distributors, manufacturers, and associations.
4. Market sizing
Our market sizing is built on a bottom-up approach, starting with company revenue data gathered directly through primary interviews, alongside production volume figures from manufacturers and installation or deployment statistics. These inputs are then pieced together across regional markets to arrive at a global estimate that stays grounded in actual industry activity.
5. Forecast model & key assumptions
Every forecast includes explicit documentation of:
✓ Key growth drivers and their assumed impact
✓ Restraining factors and mitigation scenarios
✓ Regulatory assumptions and policy change risk
✓ Technology adoption curve parameter
✓ Macroeconomic assumptions (GDP growth, inflation, currency)
✓ Competitive dynamics and market entry/exit expectations
6. Validation & quality assurance
The final stages involve human validation, where domain experts manually review filtered data to identify nuances and contextual errors that automated systems might miss. This expert review adds a critical layer of quality assurance, ensuring data aligns with research objectives and domain-specific standards.
Our triple-layer validation process ensures maximum data reliability:
✓ Statistical Validation
✓ Expert Validation
✓ Market Reality Check
Trust & credibility
Verified data sources
Trade publications
Security & defense sector journals and trade press
Industry databases
Proprietary and third-party market databases
Regulatory filings
Government procurement records and policy documents
Academic research
University studies and specialist institution reports
Company reports
Annual reports, investor presentations, and filings
Expert interviews
C-suite, procurement leads, and technical specialists
GMI archive
13,000+ published studies across 30+ industry verticals
Trade data
Import/export volumes, HS codes, and customs records
Parameters studied & evaluated
Every data point in this report is validated through primary interviews, true bottom-up modelling, and rigorous cross-checks. Read about our research process →