Mini Split Air Conditioning System Market Size - By Product Type, By Installation, By Technology, By Price, By Capacity, By End Use, By Distribution Channel, Growth Forecast, 2025 - 2034

Mini Split Air Conditioning System Market Size

The global mini split air conditioning system market was estimated at USD 7.4 billion in 2024. The market is expected to grow from USD 7.7 billion in 2025 to USD 12.5 billion in 2034, at a CAGR of 5.5%, according to Global Market Insights Inc.

• Mini split air conditioning systems continue to grow in popularity for home and business owner consumers insisting on energy-efficient and flexible cooling solutions. Mini splits differ from traditional HVAC equipment, since they do not require duct work, installation is much easier, and they can be used in both new construction and retrofitting older buildings.
   
• The mini split market has significantly expanded as energy costs climb, environmental considerations rise, and a demand for more sophisticated and customizable versions of home systems increase. As sustainability, efficiency, and convenience become increasingly key factors, these specific market demands will get larger. The mini split sector is becoming smarter and pushing the envelope with technology, energy efficiency, and enhancing the user experience.
   
• The mini split air conditioning system market has grown from USD 6.7 billion in 2021, due to the increase in global demand for energy efficient and cost-effective cooling solutions. The increase in popularity of these systems has prompted consumers to look for alternatives to traditional HVAC systems. Mini splits are attractive options for many new consumers since they are flexible, easy to install, and can provide zoned cooling. Likewise, the market has also expanded due to supportive government enforcement of incentives for energy efficient appliances, and increased awareness of sustainability with consumers.
   
• In mini split air conditioning system market, the single-zone mini splits segment is the dominant segment, because they are simple and inexpensive for cooling or heating only one room at a time. These systems are marketed toward homeowners that want to add climate control to a specific room need, like bedrooms, home offices, or living spaces that have been previously renovated or built without climate control, eliminating major construction, plumbing and ductwork. The upfront lower cost, installation simplicity and energy savings persuade price sensitive individuals to use them on a small scale in residential applications. Also, for many people living in an apartment, a house that is not big, or older building using a single zone system is a straightforward way to achieve comfort in an area of their home, without altering the existing building.
   
• The Asia-Pacific region is dominating and fastest growing region in mini split air conditioning system market, due to factors such as rapid urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and increasing demand for energy-efficient and multipurpose cooling solutions. Other factors including increased activities for residential, commercial, and industrial construction, supportive government policy frameworks and increase of residential and commercial sectors have also influenced the growing demand for mini split air conditioning. These market factors make the Asia-Pacific region the fastest growing region in the world.
   

Mini Split Air Conditioning System Market Trends

• Since about 2020, smart and IoT-connected mini split air-conditioning systems have been growing in popularity, especially, as we become more demanding with convenience and energy management through connected devices. Consumers are also leveraging smart assistants and mobile applications; thus, manufacturers concentrate on wireless and articulated controls that were enabled with automation. This trend is anticipated to grow rapidly through 2030 and even more, as the smart home ecosystem grows and consumer response to remote climate control demand is satisfied.
   
• Consumer and regulatory attention to energy efficiency and sustainable HVAC systems have been steadily growing since 2022. The presence of inverter technology and the introduction of low-GWP refrigerants have made a mini split system sustainable compared to its traditional competition. It is expected that this focus will be a key market driver through 2030 and further, as countries around the world increase their commitment to reducing carbon emissions and energy consumption, providing more opportunities for manufacturers to innovate and sell to eco-friendly or eco-conscious consumers.
   
• The demand for mini split systems has also demonstrated an increasing acceptance for retrofits or renovations, as the ductless option allows easy installation when an older building may not have any ductwork. Urbanization trends and increasing activity to upgrade and invest in properties-helped to stimulate this demand. This market segment is expected to continue to grow into 2030, as demand continues to be driven by consumers and markets searching for less expensive, least invasive HVAC upgrades that provide customizable zone control options and energy savings.
   
• The growth of the mini split air conditioning market in developing regions of Asia-Pacific and Latin America started to surge unabated, primarily due to urbanization, increased disposable income, and growth in construction activity. These markets still offer a lot of growth potential and will continue to spur immense market growth toward 2030 and beyond. As customer awareness about energy efficiency and climate comfort continues to grow, mini splits will be key in fulfilling increasing cooling demand in a sustainable way.
   

Mini Split Air Conditioning System Market Analysis

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Based on product type, the market is segmented into single-zone mini splits and multi-zone mini splits. In 2024, the single-zone mini splits segment dominates the market with 54.9% revenue share and is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 5% from 2025 to 2034.
 

• The single-zone mini splits segment dominates the market as these mini splits are affordable, ease of installation, and their application for smaller spaces. Their ease of maintenance and energy efficiency appeals to homeowners looking for a flexible, pantry-cooling solution missing the complexity or upfront costs associated with multi-zone systems.
   
• Single-zone mini splits are more affordable and less complicated than multi-zone mini splits, especially for single-room applications. Multi-zone mini splits provide centralized control for rooms needing separate operation and address distinct temperature concerns but require greater installation costs and maintenance; thus, they tend to be installed in larger homes or the worksite that has different cooling requirements in various spaces.
   

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Based on end use, the mini split air conditioning system market is segmented into residential and commercial. In 2024, the residential segment dominates the market with 65.5% share and is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 5.6% from 2025 to 2034.
 

• The residential segment has a predominance in the mini split air conditioning market due to urbanization, rising disposable income, and demand for energy efficient, easy to install cooling solutions in the home. Homeowners choose mini splits to manage comfort levels without being tied to large HVAC systems or incur the installation costs. Another factor in product choice is that homeowners tend to value energy savings more than commercial users.
   
• The commercial segment must look for larger, more complex air conditioning systems to manage the cooling to multiple zones and larger areas of space. Traditional air conditioning is difficult to use for buildings with many rooms or zones unless you limit the installation because of the cost, significant maintenance required, and/or time to install. While there is more room for these multi-zone installations in commercial spaces, the relative adoption is slower than less complex residential mini split systems.
   

Based on the distribution channel, the mini split air conditioning system market is segmented as online and offline. In 2024, the offline segment dominates the market with 62.2% share and is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 5.8% from 2025 to 2034.
 

• The offline channel is in the lead for mini split air conditioning because, unlike online channels, offline channels can provide pre-sale consultation, product inspection, and installation. Customers put their blind trust in physical stores for product expertise about purchasing, installation, and the support that comes after the purchase, creating a greater likelihood for them to prefer an offline to an online retailer for mini splits.
   
• Online sales offer more convenience and variety than offline sales but have their drawbacks with online claims of availability vs actual availability particularly if you add in consideration of delivery time and may still be counterintuitive compared to offline in determining which system to purchase for installation. These aspects can inhibit further online penetration in sales even if only with certain customer segments of the mini split air conditioning space who prioritize personalized service and immediate access to the product.
   

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The China dominated the mini split air conditioning system market with around 31.5% market share and estimated to reach revenue of USD 1.6 billion by 2034.
 

• China's dominance in the global market is attributed to multiple factors. For instance, China has large-scale manufacturing infrastructure and low-cost production that allow it to produce and sell a highly affordable product in the global marketplace. Furthermore, China has a large supply chain and raw material availability that allows for large-scale manufacturing, and innovation.
   
• A notable increase in domestic consumption, notably from urbanization and rising disposable incomes, also supports the expansion in the market. Furthermore, the number of manufacturers who have already developed brand equity and technological advancements in the energy-efficient models also support China's position in the market.
   

In North America, U.S. mini split air conditioning system market is expected to experience significant and promising growth from 2025 to 2034.
 

• The U.S. mini split air conditioning market is positioned for considerable slice of growth as consumers in both the residential and commercial sectors are increasingly looking for energy-conscious and flexible cooling solutions. The evolving U.S. market is fueled by rising consumer awareness around environmental sustainability and government mandates for energy consumption, along with market preferences for retrofitting existing buildings likewise add to the growth category.
   
• Additionally, the U.S. opens greater opportunities due to its wider infrastructure, consumer acceptance, and access to better distribution networks to launch mini splits. Technological advancements by manufacturers and overall bigger investments in smart HVAC systems keep the U.S. market positioned as the leader of the North American region.
   

In Europe, the Germany mini split air conditioning system market is expected to experience significant and promising growth from 2025 to 2034.
 

• The Germany market is positioned for growth from a variety of factors that combine Germany's desire for energy efficiency and sustainability. Germany's government regulations and incentives for the adoption of eco-friendly cooling technologies are firmly established.
   
• Additionally, Germany's large construction and renovation industry and growing amenity for versatile, compact HVAC systems in both residential and commercial buildings will boost the market growth. Advanced technology manufacturers also inhabit the country's market; the countries consumers have now matured in their knowledge of smart climate control systems allowing for further market growth and will allow Germany to stay in the lead in the European mini split space.
   

In MEA, the South Africa mini split air conditioning system market is expected to experience significant and promising growth from 2025 to 2034.
 

• The South Africa market is on the verge of remarkable growth with urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and emerging need for effective cooling systems in both the residential and commercial building sectors. Citizens in this country reside in a warm climate which drives demand for reliable air conditioning, whilst many areas lack central HVAC infrastructure, opening the opportunity for mini splits to satisfy this gap in demand and be a cost-effective option.
   
• Additionally, improved electricity access, and institutional support from the government on energy-efficient technologies, is driving adoption in the more inefficient sectors of the economy. Alongside these trends is a rapid expansion of construction activities in South Africa which will ensure growth, and the country maintains its position in the MEA market.
   

Mini Split Air Conditioning System Market Share

• Daikin Industries leads with 5% market share due to their high-quality pigments and wide range of unique, artist-preferred colors. The top 5 companies are Daikin Industries, Midea Group, GREE Electric Appliances, Trane Technologies, and Carrier Corporation, collectively hold 23% of the market, indicating fragmented market concentration.
   
• Daikin offers combination of high-end inverter technology, energy-saving design, vertical integration, high-quality manufacturing processes, and an eco-friendly agenda. In addition to their strong use of VRV systems, their commitment to using low-GWP refrigerants employs highly customized approaches to heating/cooling needs around the globe, while optimizing efficiency levels.
   
• Midea’s mini-split systems stand out with flexible, budget-friendly solutions suited to a wide climate range. Their compact, easy-install designs appeal to residential needs, and their integration with Wi-Fi and smart thermostats enables seamless smart-home control, highlighting Midea’s focus on accessibility, adaptability, and connected comfort.
   
• Gree offers a complete lineup of inverter-based, ductless systems ranging from single-zone to multi-zone applications supported by smart, Wi-Fi-enabled controls, in addition to distributor and contractor support. Gree's business model is integrated on a global scale, while eco-friendly and digital-managed tools only help to strengthen Gree in reputation for innovative, energy-efficient HVAC systems delivered in volume.
   
• Trane harnesses their rich history in HVAC product development to showcase robust, application-proven systems built for reliability and superior performance. Trane leverages its global manufacturing and service capabilities while the mini-splits continue to build on Trane's strong presence in high noise, large-scale applications, Trane emphasizes reliability, trusted, engineered quality and control throughout a space.
   
• Carrier's mini-splits tout energy efficient inverter technology and available ductless configurations that will not impact architectural integrity while providing zoned heating and cooling. Carrier promotes ease of installation, low energy consumption and low visual impact. Carrier's series provides broad selections and localized expert support to bundle solutions for residential and light-commercial needs.
   

Mini Split Air Conditioning System Market Companies

Major players operating in the mini split air conditioning system industry are:
 

• Carrier Corporation
• Daikin Industries
• Fujitsu General
• GREE Electric Appliances
• Haier Group Corporation
• Hitachi
• Johnson Controls International
• LG Electronics
• Midea Group
• Mitsubishi Electric Corporation
• Panasonic Corporation
• Samsung Electronics
• Senville
• Toshiba Corporation
• Trane Technologies
   
• Daikin Industries, as a global leader in the HVAC system industry, had record revenues of around USD 29 billion for the fiscal year 2024, securing its status in the global mini split air conditioning market. By controlling the entire product development cycle, from compressors to refrigerants, Daikin can innovate constantly and maintain quality. Daikin is investing heavily in R&D and digital transformation to drive sustainable technologies, including low-GWP refrigerants and energy-efficient mini split systems.
   
• Trane Technologies, a recognized organization in the HVAC industry, continues to leverage a reputation for durability, ease of engineering, and reliability of the system to grow its market share in the mini split air conditioning system specifically. While the trunk of Trane’s business model has focused on the commercial systems segment, the company has developed a full line of ductless mini splits with both residential and light commercial applications. The company leverages its deep global distribution channels, as well as its equity of brand to marginalize the jump to embracing flexible and high efficiency systems.
   
• Carrier Corporation is a company that invented modern air conditioning and had revenue of approximately USD 22.4 billion in 2024. One of the biggest strategic highlights of 2024 was Carrier's acquisition of Viessmann Climate Solutions, which allowed Carrier to add residential heating and cooling technology in Europe. Carrier is betting heavily on sustainability and digitization while positioning their mini split offerings against the global trends of increased demand for flexible, smart HVAC solutions.
   

Mini Split Air Conditioning System Industry News

• In September 2024, Midea entered the headlines of the mini split air conditioning system segment when the company stole the show at IFA 2024 in Berlin. Midea also introduced the AI-controlled Solstice split AC and PortaSplit which offered portability and split-system efficiency while reinforcing commitment to sustainable, high-performance cooling and heating innovation suitable for modern home climate change equipped needs.
   
• In January 2024, Carrier Corporation acquired Viessmann Climate Solutions to expand its footprint in mini split air conditioning. Carrier now extends its operations in Europe residential and light commercial segment and will incorporate Viessmann's energy-efficient and renewable HVAC technology, and this acquisition helped Carrier strengthen its global climate sustainable solutions position in the marketplace.
   
• In 2023, Daikin developed a new inverter technology that reduces energy consumption by as much as 30%. Daikin's recent technology called Daikin Ururu Sarara Z has developed efficient refrigerant, along with a quiet, long-lasting compressor design.
   
• In 2023, Mitsubishi Electric launched a new line of mini split air conditioning systems that are compatible with smart home platforms such as Amazon Alexa and Google Home. The new systems, called Mitsubishi Electric HyperCore, can be controlled using voice commands or through a smartphone app. They can also be programmed to turn on and off automatically based on the user's schedule.
   

The mini split air conditioning system market research report includes in-depth coverage of the industry with estimates & forecasts in terms of revenue (USD Billion) and volume (Thousand Units) from 2021 to 2034, for the following segments:

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Market, By Product Type

• Single-zone mini splits
• Multi-zone mini splits

Market, By Installation

• Wall mounted
• Floor-mounted
• Ceiling-mounted
• Other (Free standing)

Market By Technology

• Inverter mini splits
• Non-inverter mini splits

Market, By Price

• Low
• Medium
• High

Market By Capacity

• Up to 9,000 btu/hr
• 9,000 to 12,000 btu/hr
• 12,000 to 18,000 btu/hr
• 18,000 btu/hr and above

Market, By End Use

• Residential
• Commercial

Market, By Distribution Channel

• Online
  • Company websites
  • E-commerce website 
• Offline
  • Specialty stores
  • Supermarket & hypermarkets
  • Factory outlets
  • Other retail stores

The above information is provided for the following regions and countries:

• North America
  • U.S.
  • Canada
• Europe
  • Germany
  • UK
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
• Asia Pacific
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • South Korea
  • Australia
• Latin America
  • Brazil
  • Mexico
  • Argentina 
• MEA
  • South Africa
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE