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Connected TV Market Size & Share 2026-2035

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Published Date: October 2026
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Connected TV Market Size

The connected TV market was valued at USD 130.5 billion in 2025, is valued at USD 136.4 billion in 2026, and is projected to expand at a 4.9% CAGR (2026–2035) to reach USD 209.9 billion by 2035. The market measures demand-side revenue from internet-enabled televisions and associated streaming hardware sold through retail and operator channels.

Connected TV Market Key Takeaways

2025 Market Size
$ 130.5 Billion
2026 Market Size
$ 136.4 Billion
2035 Forecast Market Size
$ 209.9 Billion
CAGR (2026–2035)
4.9%
Regional Dominance
Largest Market
Asia Pacific
Fastest Growing Region
Asia Pacific
Key Players
  • Market Leader: Samsung Electronics led with over 28.3% market share in 2025.

  • Leading Players: Top 5 players in this market include Samsung Electronics, LG Electronics, TCL Technology, Hisense Group, Sony Electronics, which collectively held a market share of 68.3% in 2025.

The connected TV market is being reshaped by the convergence of display hardware, operating systems, and content-discovery interfaces. Smart TVs increasingly absorb functions once performed by companion devices, while premium display technologies and AI-enabled interfaces give manufacturers a route to protect value in mature replacement markets. Demand in lower-income markets remains more sensitive to affordability, distribution reach, and broadband availability.

GMI Analyst View

Our discussions with industry experts indicate that the connected TV market reached USD 124.1 billion in 2024, staging a sharp recovery from a prior-year contraction — evidence that hardware demand remains structurally resilient against macro-driven volume cycles and that the underlying replacement and upgrade trajectory entering the current forecast period is intact and accelerating into premium hardware tiers.

Connected TV Market Trends, Growth Drivers & GMI Forecast Outlook

The market's next phase depends on the balance between premium replacement demand and price-led first-time adoption. Native smart-TV software is concentrating functionality in the display itself, while platform owners seek to extend hardware relevance through content discovery, advertising, and commerce capabilities.

Key Drivers

Driver Evidence signal Market-demand implication GMI forecast condition
Rising smart TV household penetration 82% of U.S. TV households own a smart TV, up from 70% in 2021 [1] Broad installed-base expansion sustains platform subscription revenue and addressable CTV advertising inventory at scale globally Penetration gains in emerging markets extend global unit demand through the mid-forecast period
Streaming hardware platform revenue expansion Roku device segment revenue reached USD 590.1 million in FY2024, up 20% year over year [2] Platform OEMs widening distribution and price-tier coverage are drawing new consumer cohorts into the connected-TV ecosystem Continued platform-revenue growth supports OEM investment in hardware subsidies through 2028
AI-powered operating system differentiation Integration of on-device AI recommendation engines and LLM voice interfaces-including Google Gemini on Google TV-is driving premium-tier product differentiation Premium consumers and institutional buyers prioritize AI-capable hardware, lifting ASPs AI-platform differentiation sustains premium ASP trajectories, counterbalancing volume pressure in developed markets

Evidence anchors use cited external data; demand implications and forecast conditions represent GMI analysis.

Rising household adoption changes the commercial role of the television from a display endpoint to a persistent software and service interface. In mature markets, that installed base supports replacement demand focused on screen size, picture quality, and operating-system responsiveness rather than basic connectivity. In emerging markets, wider access to connected viewing can extend demand beyond the replacement cycle as households acquire their first internet-enabled large-screen device.

Platform-led device strategies also support demand beyond the economics of a single hardware sale. Companies with content aggregation, retail partnerships, and advertising capabilities can use low-cost streaming hardware and licensed television operating systems to reach households that may not yet be ready to replace a display. That distribution model is particularly relevant where consumers prioritize ecosystem continuity across several screens.

AI functionality is becoming a tangible product differentiator when it improves search, content organization, picture processing, accessibility, or ambient experiences. Manufacturers that translate those features into visible consumer utility can defend premium positioning, while institutional buyers may value remote management and interface consistency across fleets of devices.

Key Restraints

Restraint Evidence signal Market-demand implication GMI forecast condition
Pay-TV operator STB displacement ABI Research: pay-TV STB market -6.1% CAGR (2023–2030), from USD 8.6 billion to USD 5.5 billion [3] Operator-channel hardware procurement contracts, removing a historically significant volume source Hybrid STB revenue share falls below 3% of global CTV mix by 2035
Consumer-cycle macro sensitivity IDC: smart TV shipments declined 5.5% year over year in 2023 [4] Replacement demand is compressed in mature markets during income shocks Sub-4% revenue CAGR years are possible within the forecast window, particularly in North America and Europe
Platform and ecosystem fragmentation Proprietary OS proliferation-including Tizen, webOS, VIDAA, Roku OS, Fire OS, and Apple tvOS-limits content-library depth on lower-tier platforms Fragmented content access reduces upgrade incentive for price-sensitive consumers OS fragmentation persists through the mid-forecast period, moderating emerging-market expansion

Evidence anchors use cited external data; demand implications and forecast conditions represent GMI analysis.

The decline in operator-provided set-top boxes removes a channel that historically placed connected hardware in households through bundled service relationships. Retail demand does not automatically replace that lost procurement volume, especially where consumers can access streaming services through an existing smart TV, a game console, or another connected device. The resulting mix shift increases exposure to discretionary consumer spending.

Connected televisions remain durable goods with replacement cycles that can be extended when household budgets tighten. A deferred purchase does not necessarily disrupt access to entertainment, which makes near-term demand more responsive to consumer confidence and financing conditions than categories with shorter refresh cycles. Premium product introductions can help sustain revenue, but they do not eliminate the risk of delayed purchases.

Platform fragmentation can also weaken the perceived value of low-cost devices when application support, software updates, and content discovery vary widely by operating system. The constraint is most relevant in price-sensitive tiers, where consumers have limited willingness to pay to change ecosystems and manufacturers must manage software investment across a fragmented installed base.

GMI Analyst View

We believe operating-system control will matter more than hardware scale alone during the forecast period. Manufacturers and platforms that own the discovery interface can build recurring commercial relationships with households, while hardware-only suppliers face a more direct exposure to panel pricing, retail promotions, and product-cycle volatility.

Connected TV Market Segment Analysis

By Product Type

Smart TVs generated USD 108.0 billion in 2025 and represented 82.8% of connected TV market revenue. Their position reflects the consolidation of content navigation, voice control, streaming access, and increasingly light gaming functions within the television's native software environment. Premium display technologies and larger screen formats provide manufacturers with a way to sustain value even as entry-tier products become more price competitive.

Connected TV Market Size, by Product Type, 2025 & 2035 (USD Billion)
Connected TV Market Size, by Product Type, 2025 & 2035 (USD Billion)

Streaming media players are projected to reach USD 2.0 billion by 2035 and contract at a -3.0% CAGR (2026–2035). Native smart-TV interfaces are narrowing the functional advantage of standalone sticks and boxes, yet the category retains relevance for secondary screens, ecosystem portability, and households seeking a low-cost way to refresh a viewing experience without replacing the television.

Hybrid set-top boxes generated USD 9.6 billion in 2025 and are expected to decline at a -5.0% CAGR (2026–2035). Their outlook is tied to the continuing transition from operator-managed television packages to direct streaming access. Selective operator demand will remain where bundled services and managed home-entertainment propositions retain value, but the category lacks the broad replacement drivers supporting smart TVs.

Gaming consoles accounted for a 6.7% revenue share in 2025 and are projected to generate USD 11.1 billion by 2035. PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S devices participate in the market through their dual role as gaming systems and living-room streaming gateways. This combination broadens their addressable demand beyond dedicated gamers and supports a product cadence distinct from television replacement.

Other connected devices, including HbbTV-enabled products and smart projectors, generated USD 1.5 billion in 2025. They remain a selective part of the product mix, with opportunity concentrated in specialized residential display use cases and commercial environments where flexibility of form factor or broadcast-interactive functionality is more important than mass-market scale.

By Operating System

Android TV and Google TV generated USD 45.7 billion in 2025 and are projected to grow at a 5.2% CAGR (2026–2035). The platforms' licensing model enables broad OEM participation across price tiers and regions, while content aggregation provides a more consistent consumer proposition than many proprietary interfaces. Their scale gives manufacturers an alternative to developing and maintaining a full operating-system stack internally.

Connected TV Market Share, by Operating System, 2025
Connected TV Market Share, by Operating System, 2025

Tizen accounted for a 25.0% share of operating-system revenue in 2025 and is projected to generate USD 48.3 billion by 2035. Samsung's platform benefits from its integration with premium television hardware and global channel reach. Its strategic importance extends beyond device sales because the interface provides a foundation for content, advertising, and service-layer engagement across the installed base.

webOS represented 13.0% of operating-system revenue in 2025 and is forecast to grow at a 3.1% CAGR (2026–2035). LG's platform is closely associated with premium display positioning, particularly in OLED-led product lines. That orientation supports brand differentiation, although it offers less exposure to high-volume value-tier growth than broadly licensed operating systems.

Roku OS is projected to hold a 5.0% operating-system revenue share by 2035 and grow at a 1.4% CAGR (2026–2035). Its transition toward licensed television platforms positions the company to extend its interface beyond standalone streaming hardware. The strategic question is whether that installed-base expansion can offset slower growth in its legacy device form factors.

Fire OS generated USD 5.2 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow at a 1.9% CAGR (2026–2035). Amazon's position is supported by integration with its broader content and commerce ecosystem, giving the platform a commercial rationale beyond direct hardware revenue. Its ability to combine retail distribution, entertainment services, and advertising makes it a differentiated competitor in connected-device ecosystems.

Other operating systems are projected to account for 22.0% of revenue by 2035 and expand at an 8.2% CAGR (2026–2035). VIDAA, Apple tvOS, and proprietary operator platforms serve distinct regional and ecosystem-specific needs. Their growth indicates that the market will not converge on a single software standard, even as a handful of large platforms command most global attention.

By End-Use

Residential demand generated USD 97.9 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 155.3 billion by 2035. Household replacement remains the market's central demand engine, with premium upgrades in mature economies occurring alongside first-time smart-TV purchases in developing economies. Multi-screen households, larger display preferences, and software-driven feature upgrades will continue to shape purchasing decisions.

Commercial and hospitality applications represented an 18.0% revenue share in 2025 and are forecast to grow at a 4.9% CAGR (2026–2035). Hotel renovations, guest-experience upgrades, digital signage, and enterprise collaboration needs support demand for devices with managed software, remote administration, and commercial-grade reliability. Procurement is more project-based than residential demand, but it can provide a stabilizing source of volume for manufacturers with specialized channels.

Education and public sector demand is projected to reach USD 16.8 billion by 2035 and grow at a 6.3% CAGR (2026–2035). Classroom modernization, public-information displays, healthcare applications, and transit infrastructure are widening the institutional addressable market. These buyers often prioritize warranty coverage, central administration, and compatibility with managed software ecosystems over consumer-oriented entertainment features.

GMI Analyst View

We see the segment mix moving toward integrated display-led experiences rather than standalone companion hardware. Smart TVs are becoming the primary connected endpoint, while education, public-sector, and hospitality projects offer manufacturers a more structured procurement opportunity than discretionary household replacement demand.

Connected TV Market Regional Analysis

Connected TV Market Share, by Region, 2025 & 2035
Connected TV Market Share, by Region, 2025 & 2035

North America Connected TV Market Analysis

The connected TV market in North America generated USD 42.0 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 62.2 billion by 2035. The region is defined by high smart-TV penetration, established streaming behavior, and a transition away from operator-managed hardware toward retail-led replacement. Premium screen sizes and operating-system differentiation remain important to sustaining revenue in a market where basic connectivity is already widespread.

United States

The United States generated USD 37.0 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow at a 4.0% CAGR (2026–2035). Replacement, rather than household formation, drives demand, making premium display features and ecosystem familiarity central purchase considerations. The U.S. also remains the most important commercial proving ground for platform-led television strategies, including advertising-supported content discovery and retail distribution partnerships.

Canada

Canada is projected to reach USD 7.5 billion by 2035 and represented an 11.9% within-region revenue share in 2025. Demand is supported by a high-income consumer base, strong broadband availability, and a retail environment that broadly follows North American product cycles. Bilingual content requirements and national broadcaster relationships also shape platform and application positioning.

Europe Connected TV Market Analysis

Europe generated USD 27.5 billion in 2025 and is forecast to grow at a 4.2% CAGR (2026–2035). Mature household penetration limits volume-led expansion, but HbbTV requirements, premium replacement demand, and varied national channel structures create opportunities for differentiated hardware and software positioning. The region's fragmented consumer markets require OEMs to balance standardized global platforms with local content and regulatory expectations.

Germany

Germany generated USD 5.5 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 8.2 billion by 2035. Its structured electronics retail landscape and substantial premium-display demand make it strategically important for Samsung, LG, and other manufacturers seeking to defend higher-value product tiers. Product reliability, picture quality, and broadcast compatibility remain influential in the purchasing decision.

United Kingdom

The United Kingdom is projected to reach USD 8.8 billion by 2035 and represented 21.1% of European revenue in 2025. Advanced streaming adoption and high household spending power support strong demand for premium smart-TV features. The country is also an important launch environment for new display technologies and interface features because consumers are accustomed to a broad mix of subscription, broadcaster, and advertising-supported services.

France

France generated USD 4.0 billion in 2025. Free-to-air broadcasting and pay-TV traditions continue to influence how households adopt connected viewing, moderating the pace of pure streaming-led replacement. Manufacturers must combine premium smart-TV propositions with compatibility across established national viewing ecosystems.

Italy

Italy is projected to reach USD 5.2 billion by 2035. Digital-terrestrial transition activity helped broaden the smart-TV installed base, and future demand will depend on the pace at which households replace those earlier connected devices. Hybrid viewing behavior leaves room for both broadcast-compatible smart TVs and platform-led streaming interfaces.

Spain

Spain represented 10.2% of European revenue in 2025. The market combines price-conscious volume demand with premium purchases in major urban centers, creating a bifurcated competitive environment. Value-tier Chinese manufacturers compete directly with established premium OEMs, making channel execution and promotional positioning particularly important.

Asia Pacific Connected TV Market Analysis

The connected TV market in Asia Pacific generated USD 47.5 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow at a 5.9% CAGR (2026–2035). The region combines large premium replacement markets with high-velocity first-time adoption, making it central to both industry volume and revenue growth. Local OEM strength, varying broadband conditions, and different consumer spending profiles require manufacturers to use country-specific product and platform strategies.

China

China generated USD 22.0 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 36.5 billion by 2035. Domestic competition among TCL, Hisense, Xiaomi, and Skyworth shapes pricing and innovation across a vast installed base. The move toward larger displays, advanced panel technologies, and internet-native interfaces provides a route to higher-value replacement demand in leading urban markets.

Japan

Japan generated USD 7.0 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 10.5 billion by 2035. Demand is premium oriented, with picture quality, sound performance, design, and broadcast integration carrying substantial weight. The country's established domestic electronics brands and sophisticated viewing ecosystem require global manufacturers to adapt both hardware and software propositions.

India

India is projected to reach USD 14.0 billion by 2035 and grow at an 8.8% CAGR (2026–2035). A large first-time smart-TV household opportunity, expanding broadband access, and rising streaming familiarity underpin growth. The market is evolving from value-led entry products toward a broader structure that also supports premium replacement among urban income groups.

South Korea

South Korea generated USD 5.0 billion in 2025. The market functions as an advanced adoption environment for Samsung and LG, with early demand for OLED, QNED, large-format, and other premium display technologies. Its strategic role exceeds its population scale because domestic launches can validate technologies for global product roadmaps.

Australia

Australia is projected to generate USD 3.7 billion by 2035. High household connectivity and established streaming adoption support premium replacement demand, although the market's absolute scale is constrained by population. Large consumer-electronics chains remain important gateways for OEM product launches and promotional activity.

Latin America Connected TV Market Analysis

The connected TV market in Latin America generated USD 8.0 billion in 2025 and is forecast to grow at a 5.3% CAGR (2026–2035). First-time smart-TV household formation remains more important than in developed markets, although affordability, local currencies, and import structures create considerable demand volatility. Manufacturers that combine locally relevant pricing, distribution, and financing are better placed to capture volume growth.

Brazil

Brazil generated USD 3.8 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 6.4 billion by 2035. Its large retail market, established streaming use, and history of digital-TV transition support a sizable installed base for replacement. Local assembly and import-duty considerations influence competitive positioning, particularly in value and mid-tier products.

Mexico

Mexico is projected to reach USD 3.7 billion by 2035 and grow at a 5.3% CAGR (2026–2035). Close commercial ties to North American supply chains improve product availability and support promotional cycles aligned with U.S. retail events. A younger consumer base and urban household growth provide a favorable demand foundation.

Argentina

Argentina represented 11.3% of Latin American revenue in 2025. Macroeconomic volatility, currency restrictions, and import barriers constrain the affordable addressable market for international brands. Demand is consequently more sensitive to local pricing and availability than in the region's larger markets.

Middle East & Africa Connected TV Market Analysis

The connected TV market in the Middle East & Africa generated USD 5.5 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 8.4 billion by 2035. Demand varies sharply between high-income Gulf markets and earlier-stage markets with more limited broadband and purchasing power. That contrast favors a dual strategy of premium displays in affluent markets and affordable connected devices where digital infrastructure is still expanding.

UAE

The UAE represented 21.8% of Middle East & Africa revenue in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 1.9 billion by 2035. High household incomes, strong broadband infrastructure, and active OTT usage support premium television purchases. The market is also a regional testing ground for platform monetization, advertising partnerships, and high-specification display launches.

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia generated USD 1.5 billion in 2025 and is forecast to grow at a 4.4% CAGR (2026–2035). Entertainment-sector liberalization, household spending growth, and strong connectivity support replacement demand. Manufacturers can benefit from demand for larger screens and integrated home-entertainment products as in-home viewing options broaden.

South Africa

South Africa represented 10.9% of Middle East & Africa revenue in 2025. It has one of Sub-Saharan Africa's more developed consumer-electronics retail ecosystems, but income concentration restricts premium demand to a narrower urban customer base. Broader connected-TV adoption will depend on affordability and continued improvement in household connectivity.

GMI Analyst View

We expect Asia Pacific to remain the market's strategic center because it combines premium technology replacement in China, Japan, and South Korea with first-adoption momentum in India. Regional winners will need to manage this contrast carefully: a product and pricing model that succeeds in one Asian market will not necessarily transfer to another.

Connected TV Market Share & Competitive Landscape

The connected TV market share structure is concentrated, with Samsung Electronics, LG Electronics, TCL Technology, Hisense Group, and Sony Group collectively accounting for approximately 68% of global revenue in 2025. Market leadership rests on a combination of display technology, operating-system ownership, global channel reach, and the ability to position hardware within broader content, advertising, and commerce ecosystems.

Samsung held a 28.3% revenue share in 2025. Its Tizen platform, premium Neo QLED and OLED portfolio, and broad retail reach allow it to compete across the value-to-premium spectrum while retaining a strong presence in higher-value display categories. The company's challenge is to extend software and AI differentiation beyond flagship products without diluting premium positioning.

LG accounted for a 12.0% revenue share in 2025. The company's OLED leadership and webOS ecosystem support a differentiated premium proposition, while its platform strategy increasingly links device ownership with recurring advertising and service opportunities. Its competitive position is strongest where consumers prioritize display quality and design rather than lowest-price hardware.

TCL held an 11.0% revenue share in 2025. Its international expansion is anchored in value-to-mid-premium television offerings and deep integration with Google TV. By pairing Mini LED and large-screen products with aggressive pricing, TCL places sustained pressure on incumbent premium manufacturers and broadens access to advanced display features.

Hisense competes across price tiers through ULED, premium display technologies, and the VIDAA operating system, with particular relevance in Middle East & Africa and other markets where regional platform partnerships can strengthen commercial positioning. Sony maintains a distinct premium role through Bravia television hardware and PlayStation ecosystem alignment, allowing it to participate in both display-led and console-enabled connected viewing.

Roku, Amazon, Google, and Apple influence competition through operating systems, streaming hardware, content aggregation, and ecosystem control rather than television manufacturing alone. Vizio's SmartCast platform had more than 19 million active household accounts when Walmart completed its acquisition, illustrating the strategic value that retailers place on connected-TV operating systems and audience relationships [5]. Xiaomi and Skyworth remain important in Asia Pacific value and mid-tier products, while TP Vision, Vestel Elektronik, Arcelik A.S., Humax, Microsoft, NVIDIA, XGIMI Technology, Infomir, and Loewe address regional, specialized, or ecosystem-specific demand.

Recent Industry Developments

Walmart completed its acquisition of Vizio for USD 2.3 billion in December 2024, bringing the SmartCast operating system, device business, and connected household base into Walmart's retail-media strategy [5]. The transaction demonstrates how connected-TV assets are increasingly valued as a bridge between retail data, advertising inventory, and consumer-device distribution.

Samsung expanded its AI TV lineup in April 2025 from 34 models across nine series to 61 models across 14 series, extending Vision AI features across a broader portion of its portfolio [6]. The launch reflects the industry's effort to make AI-enabled picture processing, content discovery, and ambient features relevant to mainstream premium and mid-high television purchases.

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Authors:  Avinash Singh, Amit Patil

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs):

The connected tv market size was estimated at USD 130.5 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 136.4 billion in 2026.
The market is projected to reach USD 209.9 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 4.9% from 2026 to 2035.
Asia Pacific currently holds the largest share of the connected tv market in 2025.
Asia Pacific is projected to be the fastest-growing region during the forecast period.
Some of the major players in connected tv market include Samsung Electronics, LG Electronics, TCL Technology, Hisense Group, Sony Electronics.

Research methodology, data sources & validation process

This report draws on a structured research process built around direct industry conversations, proprietary modelling, and rigorous cross-validation and not just desk research.

Our 6-step research process

  1. 1. Research design & analyst oversight

    At GMI, our research methodology is built on a foundation of human expertise, rigorous validation, and complete transparency. Every insight, trend analysis, and forecast in our reports is developed by experienced analysts who understand the nuances of your market.

    Our approach integrates extensive primary research through direct engagement with industry participants and experts, complemented by comprehensive secondary research from verified global sources. We apply quantified impact analysis to deliver dependable forecasts, while maintaining complete traceability from original data sources to final insights.

  2. 2. Primary research

    Primary research forms the backbone of our methodology, contributing nearly 80% to overall insights. It involves direct engagement with industry participants to ensure accuracy and depth in analysis. Our structured interview program covers regional and global markets, with inputs from C-suite executives, directors, and subject matter experts. These interactions provide strategic, operational, and technical perspectives, enabling well-rounded insights and reliable market forecasts.

  3. 3. Data mining & market analysis

    Data mining is a key part of our research process, contributing nearly 20% to the overall methodology. It involves analysing market structure, identifying industry trends, and assessing macroeconomic factors through revenue share analysis of major players. Relevant data is collected from both paid and unpaid sources to build a reliable database. This information is then integrated to support primary research and market sizing, with validation from key stakeholders such as distributors, manufacturers, and associations.

  4. 4. Market sizing

    Our market sizing is built on a bottom-up approach, starting with company revenue data gathered directly through primary interviews, alongside production volume figures from manufacturers and installation or deployment statistics. These inputs are then pieced together across regional markets to arrive at a global estimate that stays grounded in actual industry activity.

  5. 5. Forecast model & key assumptions

    Every forecast includes explicit documentation of:

    • ✓ Key growth drivers and their assumed impact

    • ✓ Restraining factors and mitigation scenarios

    • ✓ Regulatory assumptions and policy change risk

    • ✓ Technology adoption curve parameter

    • ✓ Macroeconomic assumptions (GDP growth, inflation, currency)

    • ✓ Competitive dynamics and market entry/exit expectations

  6. 6. Validation & quality assurance

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    Our triple-layer validation process ensures maximum data reliability:

    • ✓ Statistical Validation

    • ✓ Expert Validation

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Authors:  Avinash Singh, Amit Patil
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