Residential Heat Pump Market Size & Share 2024 to 2032
Market Size by Product, by Application, Analysis, Share, Growth Forecast.
Report ID: GMI5700
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Published Date: July 2024
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Report Format: PDF
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Authors:
Ankit Gupta, Divyendu Sharma
Residential Heat Pump Market Size
The global residential heat pump market Size was valued at over USD 38.7 billion in 2023 and is set to grow at a CAGR of 13.9% through 2032. Growing preference for energy-efficient HVAC systems along with favorable government schemes for adoption of residential heating & cooling systems is augmenting the business landscape.
Residential Heat Pump Market Key Takeaways
Market Size & Growth
Key Market Drivers
Challenges
For instance, in February 2024, in U.S. nine state environmental agencies, led by NESCAUM, collaborated to reduce carbon emissions by making electric heat pumps the standard for new home HVAC sales by 2040. Moreover, increasing inclination toward low emission and renewable heating & cooling systems coupled with increased investments for the development of residential buildings is shaping the industry dynamics.
Residential Heat Pump Market Trends
The residential heat pump industry is set to observe significant growth owing to rising population, urbanization that has led to expansion of residential infrastructure across various nations. Favorable schemes and policies by the authorities for deployment of energy efficient systems and shifting focus toward replacement of traditional heating systems has favored the business dynamics. For instance, in October 2023, the government of UK enhanced the heat pump grants by 50% from USD 6,325 (GBP 5,000) to USD 9,400 (GBP 7,500). The Boiler Upgrade Scheme offers these grants to encourage replacing fossil fuel heating with efficient, low-carbon systems like air source heat pumps, ground source heat pumps. Moreover, rising consumer purchasing power and shifting preference for smart systems is accelerating product demand.
Residential Heat Pump Market Analysis
The air source heat pump segment is anticipated to surpass over USD 120 billion by 2032. Growing demand for space heating and hot water requirement across residential and commercial establishments along with ongoing replacement of tradition heating systems will accelerate the product demand. For instance, in 2024, homeowners can benefit from a federal tax credit that covers 30% of the installation costs for air-source heat pumps, with a maximum credit of USD 2,000 Favorable initiatives by respective authorities including tax rebates, subsidies and credit schemes for the adoption of low carbon technologies is set to augment the air source heat pump business dynamics.
The ground source heat pump market is set to witness significant growth on account of increasing adoption of low energy systems along with stringent energy efficiency mandates by the authorities to curb emissions. Rapid expansion of commercial and residential establishments and shifting inclination toward improving energy efficiency of buildings will further augment the industry outlook.
Single family segment is set to observe a CAGR of over 13% through 2032. Ongoing development of residential establishments, rising demand for heating & cooling and shifting focus toward limiting carbon emissions is set to augment the product deployment. Growing adoption of these units in single-family homes owing to zoning, temperature control features, and a focus on energy efficient is driving the product demand. Favorable schemes including tax credit, financial rebates and subsidies for installation heat pumps, along with rising income levels and a preference for enhanced comfort, will further influence the industry landscape
Asia Pacific residential heat pump market valued is set to grow over USD 49 billion by 2032. Rapid population growth, robust expansion of residential establishments, increased investments in real estate, have increased demand for efficient heating and cooling solutions positively impacting the industry growth. Growing inclination to reduce carbon emissions and improve energy efficiency of building infrastructure will augment the industry landscape. For instance, China's National Development and Reform Commission established energy efficiency standards aims to accelerate energy conservation through advanced technologies including heat pumps, to achieve carbon reduction goals, and enhance energy-saving standards for products. Moreover, Government regulations, tax benefits, and subsidies aimed at promoting heat pump deployment will complement the industry landscape.
Residential Heat Pump Market Share
Major manufacturers operating across the residential heat pump industry are focusing on introducing innovations, new technologies and products, along with forming strategic agreements, partnerships, joint ventures, to strengthen their competitive market share. Key players including, Carrier, Daikin, Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, LG Electronics, Panasonic Corporation, and Samsung among other, holds the major market share across the industry.
Residential Heat Pump Market Companies
Major players operating across the industry include:
Residential Heat Pump Industry News
The residential heat pump market research report includes in-depth coverage of the industry with estimates & forecast in terms of “’000 Units” and “USD Million” from 2021 to 2032 for the following segments:
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Market, By Product
Market, By Application
The above information has been provided for the following regions and countries:
Research methodology, data sources & validation process
This report draws on a structured research process built around direct industry conversations, proprietary modelling, and rigorous cross-validation and not just desk research.
Our 6-step research process
1. Research design & analyst oversight
At GMI, our research methodology is built on a foundation of human expertise, rigorous validation, and complete transparency. Every insight, trend analysis, and forecast in our reports is developed by experienced analysts who understand the nuances of your market.
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2. Primary research
Primary research forms the backbone of our methodology, contributing nearly 80% to overall insights. It involves direct engagement with industry participants to ensure accuracy and depth in analysis. Our structured interview program covers regional and global markets, with inputs from C-suite executives, directors, and subject matter experts. These interactions provide strategic, operational, and technical perspectives, enabling well-rounded insights and reliable market forecasts.
3. Data mining & market analysis
Data mining is a key part of our research process, contributing nearly 20% to the overall methodology. It involves analysing market structure, identifying industry trends, and assessing macroeconomic factors through revenue share analysis of major players. Relevant data is collected from both paid and unpaid sources to build a reliable database. This information is then integrated to support primary research and market sizing, with validation from key stakeholders such as distributors, manufacturers, and associations.
4. Market sizing
Our market sizing is built on a bottom-up approach, starting with company revenue data gathered directly through primary interviews, alongside production volume figures from manufacturers and installation or deployment statistics. These inputs are then pieced together across regional markets to arrive at a global estimate that stays grounded in actual industry activity.
5. Forecast model & key assumptions
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✓ Key growth drivers and their assumed impact
✓ Restraining factors and mitigation scenarios
✓ Regulatory assumptions and policy change risk
✓ Technology adoption curve parameter
✓ Macroeconomic assumptions (GDP growth, inflation, currency)
✓ Competitive dynamics and market entry/exit expectations
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Our triple-layer validation process ensures maximum data reliability:
✓ Statistical Validation
✓ Expert Validation
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