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Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Size - By Platform, By Delivery Mode, By Range, By Solution, By Application, Growth Forecast, 2026 - 2035
Report ID: GMI5366
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Published Date: January 2026
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Report Format: PDF
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Authors: Preeti Wadhwani, Satyam Jaiswal
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Base Year: 2025
Companies covered: 25
Tables & Figures: 140
Countries covered: 26
Pages: 225
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Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market
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Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Size
The global autonomous last mile delivery market size was estimated at USD 1.3 billion in 2025. The market is expected to grow from USD 1.6 billion in 2026 to USD 11.5 billion in 2035, at a CAGR of 24.5% according to latest report published by Global Market Insights Inc.
Autonomous last-mile delivery, a critical part of the supply chain, uses robotics, AI, and autonomous vehicles to transport goods from distribution centers to consumers without human involvement. This technology, including drones, robots, and autonomous trucks, addresses delivery challenges across diverse environments. The market is growing rapidly, driven by e-commerce expansion, rising labor costs, and advancements in autonomous platforms.
The rapid growth of online retail has driven unprecedented demand for scalable last-mile delivery solutions. In 2023, e-commerce sales in the United States reached USD 1.09 trillion, representing 15.4% of total retail sales. This surge has highlighted the limitations of traditional fleets, accelerating the need for autonomous delivery adoption.
The market is projected to grow significantly, reaching USD 1.6 billion in 2026 and USD 11.5 billion by 2035, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.5% during the forecast period. This growth, exceeding 10x over the decade, highlights the market's alignment with transformative technologies achieving mainstream adoption.
Several structural factors underpin these robust market size projections. First, as e-commerce penetration rises globally, the total addressable market keeps expanding. The U.S. Census Bureau forecasts that by 2030, e-commerce will account for 20-25% of total retail sales, a jump from 15.6% in 2024. This shift directly boosts the volume of parcels needing last-mile delivery.
Second, as technology costs drop and operational efficiencies rise, the unit economics for autonomous delivery systems steadily improve. This evolution positions autonomous solutions as cost-competitive alternatives to traditional delivery methods across a wider array of use cases. Third, regulatory frameworks are increasingly facilitating commercial deployment. Notably, the Federal Aviation Administration's Part 107 drone regulations, alongside state-level autonomous vehicle legislation, are charting clearer market pathways.
North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific, the developed markets, are set to dominate, holding over 95% of the global market value through 2035. Yet, as infrastructure develops and regulations mature, emerging markets are poised for significant growth, especially in the latter half of the forecast period.
15% Market Share
Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Trends
The autonomous last mile delivery industry is shaped by five transformative trends that are fundamentally restructuring logistics operations, consumer expectations, and urban infrastructure planning. These trends operate synergistically, creating compounding effects that accelerate market adoption beyond linear growth projections.
Autonomous delivery platforms are shifting from broad concepts to tailored solutions, fine-tuned for distinct delivery scenarios. Drones, leading the charging, excel in long-distance and suburban deliveries, capitalizing on accessible airspace for swift point-to-point transport. They command the lion's share of the market and showcase robust growth potential. Thanks to regulatory nods from aviation authorities, commercial deployment has surged, bolstering the rise of drone-centric autonomous delivery solutions.
Across the globe, municipal governments are channeling investments into infrastructure tailored for autonomous delivery vehicles. In the U.S., the Department of Transportation, through its Smart City Challenge and the ensuing Smart City Collaborative, has earmarked more than $165 million to foster urban mobility innovations, which prominently feature dedicated corridors for autonomous vehicles.
Leading logistics providers are crafting integrated multi-modal delivery networks. These networks blend traditional vehicles with autonomous drones, ground robots, and self-driving trucks, all working in harmony. A prime example is Amazon's logistics network. It starts with fulfillment centers for sorting, then employs traditional trucks for transport, uses autonomous vehicles for zoned deliveries, and wraps up with drones or robots for the final consumer handoff.
Environmental regulations and corporate sustainability commitments are now leading the charge in the adoption of autonomous deliveries. The European Union's Green Deal sets a legally binding target: a 55% emissions reduction by 2030, using 1990 levels as a benchmark. This creates a pressing regulatory push for the deployment of electric delivery vehicles.
Advancements in artificial intelligence, machine learning, and computer vision are significantly enhancing autonomous delivery systems. The National Institute of Standards and Technology states that modern AI object detection systems achieve over 95% accuracy in controlled environments, with annual performance improvements of 15-20%.
Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Analysis
Based on platform, autonomous last mile delivery market is segmented into drones, robots, trucks & vans serving differentiated delivery profiles and capturing distinct market segments. The drones segment dominates the market with 49% share in 2025, and the segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 22.8% from 2026 to 2035.
Based on delivery mode, autonomous last mile delivery market is divided into B2B, B2C and C2C. The B2C segment dominates with 47% market share in 2025 and is growing at the fastest rate of 24.2% CAGR till 2035.
Based on range, the autonomous last mile delivery market is segmented into short range (20 km) and long range (>20 km) each exhibiting distinct platform preferences, use cases, and growth trajectories. The short range (20 km) segment dominates with 71% market share in 2025.
Based on solution, the autonomous last mile delivery market is divided into hardware, software and services. The hardware dominates with 57% market share in 2025, and with a CAGR of 24.1% during forecast period.
North America dominated the autonomous last mile delivery market with a market share of 36%, which is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 22.1% during the analysis timeframe.
The autonomous last mile delivery market in the US is expected to experience significant and promising growth from 2026 to 2035.
Asia Pacific is the fastest growing autonomous last mile delivery market, which is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 27.9% during the analysis timeframe reflecting rapid urbanization, massive e-commerce expansion, government support for autonomous technologies, and infrastructure investments specifically enabling autonomous delivery.
China is fastest growing country in Asia Pacific autonomous last mile delivery market growing with a CAGR of 27.6% from 2026 to 2035.
Europe autonomous last mile delivery market accounted for USD 408.1 million in 2025 and is anticipated to show growth of 23.5% CAGR over the forecast period.
Germany dominates the Europe autonomous last mile delivery market, showcasing strong growth potential, with a CAGR of 23.6% from 2026 to 2035.
Brazil leads the Latin American autonomous last mile delivery market, exhibiting remarkable growth of 26.8% during the forecast period of 2026 to 2035.
UAE to experience substantial growth in the Middle East and Africa autonomous last mile delivery market in 2025.
Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Share
Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Companies
Major players operating in the autonomous last mile delivery industry are:
Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Industry News
The autonomous last mile delivery market research report includes in-depth coverage of the industry with estimates & forecasts in terms of revenue (USD Bn) and shipment (units) from 2022 to 2035, for the following segments:
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Market, By Platform
Market, By Delivery Mode
Market, By Range
Market, By Solution
Market, By Application
The above information is provided for the following regions and countries: