Renewable Energy Carbon Credit Market size to cross USD 186.2 Bn by 2034

Published Date: September 2025

Selbyville, DE. – The global renewable energy carbon credit market was estimated at USD 43.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow from USD 48 billion in 2025 to USD 186.2 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 16.2%, according to the latest published report by Global Market Insights, Inc.

Governments and corporations worldwide are setting aggressive net-zero targets, creating a surge in demand for carbon credits generated through renewable energy projects. These credits help bridge the gap between current emissions and long-term decarbonization goals.

Key Insights:

Market Size & Growth:

  • 2024 Market Size: USD 43.3 billion
  • 2025 Market Size: USD 48 billion
  • 2034 Forecast Market Size: USD 186.2 billion
  • CAGR (2025–2034): 16.2%

Regional Insights:

  • Largest Market: Europe
  • Fastest Growing Market: Asia Pacific
  • Emerging Countries: U.S., China, India

Key Growth Drivers:

  1. Expansion of corporate sustainability initiatives: Companies are under increasing pressure from stakeholders, investors, and customers to demonstrate environmental responsibility.
  2. Supportive regulatory frameworks and climate policies: Governments are introducing policies that either mandate or incentivize carbon offsetting through renewable energy.
  3. Growth of voluntary carbon markets (VCMs): The rise of voluntary carbon markets is enabling businesses and individuals to invest in renewable energy offsets.
  4. Increased investment in renewable energy projects: Rapid expansion of solar, wind, hydro, and other renewable energy sources, particularly in developing economies, is creating a consistent pipeline of projects eligible for carbon credit issuance.
  5. Rising carbon prices and market transparency: As the cost of emitting carbon increases in regulated markets, the financial appeal of renewable energy credits is strengthening.

Key Players:

  • 3Degrees led the market with over 4% share in 2024.
  • Some of the top players in this market include Green Mountain Energy, Eco Act, 3Degrees, South Pole, TerraPass, which together held a 25% share in 2024.

Key Challenges:

  1. Concerns over additionality and credit integrity: A major challenge lies in verifying whether renewable energy projects would not have occurred without the support of carbon credits.
  2. Market fragmentation and lack of standardization: The renewable energy carbon credit market is fragmented across various voluntary and compliance systems, each with different methodologies, verification protocols, and certification standards.
  3. Over-supply in some markets: In certain regions, renewable energy projects have become economically viable without carbon credit revenue, leading to an oversupply of credits.
  4. Public scrutiny and "greenwashing" accusations: Corporations that purchase renewable energy credits without making real operational changes are often accused of greenwashing.
  5. Complex verification and certification processes:  Issuing carbon credits requires complex, time-consuming processes involving third-party audits, monitoring, and reporting.

Browse key industry insights spread across 132 pages with 34 market data tables and figures from the report, “Renewable Energy Carbon Credit Market Size - By Type, Analysis, Share & Growth Forecast, 2025 - 2034” in detail, along with the table of contents:

https://www.gminsights.com/industry-analysis/renewable-energy-carbon-credit-market

Compliance to Gain Traction

The compliance segment held a notable share in 2024, driven by government-mandated emissions reduction targets and regulatory frameworks. Under programs like cap-and-trade and renewable portfolio standards, companies are required to offset a portion of their emissions, fueling steady demand for certified renewable energy credits. This segment benefits from structured oversight and standardized protocols, offering more predictability for market participants.

Rising Adoption Among the Voluntary Segment

The voluntary segment will grow at a decent CAGR during 2025-2034, as corporations, institutions, and individuals take proactive steps toward sustainability beyond regulatory mandates. Businesses are purchasing renewable energy carbon credits to demonstrate climate leadership, meet internal net-zero targets, and enhance ESG reporting. The segment thrives on flexibility, with buyers selecting projects that align with their brand values, such as community-based solar farms or small-scale wind developments.

Europe to Emerge as a Lucrative Region

Europe renewable energy carbon credit market generated significant revenues in 2024, supported by ambitious climate policies, mature carbon trading systems, and widespread adoption of renewable technologies. The region’s strong compliance infrastructure—led by the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS)—has set the global standard for carbon pricing and transparency. Simultaneously, voluntary participation is growing, as European corporations push toward net-zero commitments and seek to finance clean energy projects across borders.

Major players in the renewable energy carbon credit market are WayCarbon, Carbon Credit Capital, LLC., TerraPass, Native Energy, Climate Impact Partners, Atmosfair, The Carbon Collective Company, Carbon Better, EcoAct, ClimeCo LLC., South Pole, ALLCOT, Sterling Planet Inc., PwC, Green Mountain Energy Company, 3Degrees, CarbonClear, Ecosecurities, The Carbon Trust, Carbon Direct.

To strengthen their market position, companies operating in the renewable energy carbon credit space are focusing on credibility, scalability, and digital innovation. Many are partnering directly with renewable energy developers to secure long-term credit supply from new projects, ensuring both additionality and future revenue streams. Others are investing in advanced monitoring and reporting technologies, including satellite data and AI, to validate credit impact and gain trust with buyers. Market leaders are also entering strategic alliances with fintech firms to streamline trading platforms and offer greater transparency. Additionally, some are expanding internationally by tailoring credit offerings to local climate goals and aligning with global standards such as ICVCM and VCMI to boost their reputation and competitiveness.

Author: Ankit Gupta, Shashank Sisodia